Author: FX

It was another busy day as traders digested the Fed’s latest rate cut, BOE’s decision to stand pat, better-than-expected U.S. data, and developing stories in the Middle East. Which assets took advantage of Thursday’s headlines? We’re discussing them below! Headlines: New Zealand GDP contracted 0.2% in Q2 2024 (-0.4% forecast, previous reading downgraded from 0.2% to 0.1%) Australia’s August labor market data showed strength despite high interest rates Switzerland trade surplus shrank from 4.1B CHF to 3.9B CHF in August, the smallest since April, as exports (-1.2% m/m) fell faster than imports (-0.1% m/m) SECO continues to predict a 1.2%…

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In an 8-1 vote, Bank of England (BOE) members voted to keep their official bank rate at 5.00% in September. Swati Dhingra, a known dovish member, voted for another 25bps rate cut following a similar reduction in August. The voting result is much less “finely balanced” than the 5-4 decision to cut rates last month and the 7-2 score that markets had expected this time. To further reduce liquidity in the financial system, Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members also voted unanimously to keep reducing its U.K. government bond (gilt) holdings by £100B over the next 12 months to September 2025.…

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WTI price drifts lower to near $70.80 in Friday’s Asian session.  Ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions, prospects of further Fed rate cuts this year could support the WTI price.  The weaker oil demand in China might weigh on the WTI. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude Oil benchmark, is trading around $70.80 on Friday. WTI price edges lower amid some profit-taking. However, the downside of the WTI price might be limited as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to escalate and the Federal Reserve (Fed) is likely to cut more interest rates in the months to come.Israeli warplanes and…

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The foreign exchange market, often abbreviated as Forex, can be a thrilling yet intimidating arena for aspiring traders. With currency prices constantly in flux, deciphering market trends and making informed decisions requires a keen eye and a reliable toolbox of technical analysis tools. Enter the Omega Trend MT4 Indicator, a powerful addition to the arsenal of any Forex trader seeking to conquer the market. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll delve deep into the world of the Omega Trend, exploring its functionalities, uncovering its secrets, and equipping you with the knowledge to leverage its potential for success. Whether you’re a seasoned…

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The combination of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA) with the PY Signal method stands out for its power and precision. Unlike traditional moving averages, the TMA adjusts its calculation to place greater emphasis on recent price movements. This adaptive approach not only smooths out market noise but also provides traders with clearer signals of ongoing trends in real time. The TMA operates by calculating an average price over a defined period, with a triangular weighting that prioritizes recent data. This means it reacts swiftly to changes in market sentiment, offering traders a timely reflection of current price dynamics. This responsiveness…

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By Daniel Trotta and Joseph Ax (Reuters) – North Carolina’s Republican candidate for governor promised to stay in the race on Thursday after CNN reported that he once called himself a “black NAZI!” and proposed bringing back slavery in comments posted on a pornography website. Mark Robinson, an African American who denied making the comments, is North Carolina’s lieutenant governor and running for governor in the Nov. 5 election against Democratic candidate Josh Stein, the state’s attorney general. North Carolina’s gubernatorial campaign has implications for the presidential contest. The fortunes of high-profile candidates there could affect partisan turnout or enthusiasm…

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ICYMI, Justin ahd the headline on this Thursday:Adding in a little more now: from the GS note. Analsyst at the bank argue that the main reason for the larger rate cut, and the key takeaway from the meeting, was the shift in focus from inflation concerns to employment risks, due to recent signs of weakness in the labor market. And thus a longer sequence of consecutive 25-basis-point cuts is expected from November 2024 through June 2025, compared to the previous forecast, which anticipated consecutive cuts this year and quarterly cuts next year. The Fed’s terminal rate is projected to be…

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FOMC meeting ended with 50 bps interest rate cut to the 4.75%-5.00% range. The Dot Plot suggests a gradual easing cycle that hints at three cuts in 2024. Chair Powell stressed during his presser that the Fed is not in a rush. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies, is trading flat near 100.70 on Thursday as the market digests the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) 50-basis-point (bps) cut. The market overreacted to the news, intensifying expectations of further easing despite the Fed’s efforts to indicate a gradual easing cycle. On Thursday,…

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