Author: FX

Data from China is less encouraging that expected. Data from earlier in the week:And responses:Now analysts at Nomura have cut their forecast for China’s 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) growth to 5.5% from 5.9% previously.lowered its forecast for Q2 GDP growth to 7.8%y/y from its previous projection at 8.4%This is against a background of the Chinese Communist Party government aiming for 2023 growth of around 5%.As for policy implications, Nomura expects the People’s Bank of China to cut its benchmark lending rate, the loan prime rate (LPR), by 10 basis points in mid-June. “As China’s economy moves out of the…

Share: GBP/USD bulls hit a brick wall in the Wall Street risk rally. The daily chart offers a bearish scenario for the days ahead.  GBP/USD is back to flat in the day after initial losses that were sparked in the face of the Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey reiterating that he expected price pressures to ease, as soon as April. Also, data showed Britain’s jobless rate rose to 3.9%, while the rate of increase in total pay held steady. At the time of writing, GBP/USD is trading near 1.2490 and is correcting lower from a 4-hour resistance area. …

FrankvandenBergh U.S. stocks extended gains on Wednesday, helped by optimism over the debt ceiling impasse and a jump in shares of regional banks following a positive update by Western Alliance. By afternoon, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (COMP.IND) was up 1.26% to 12,498.11 points, while the benchmark S&P 500 (SP500) was higher by 1.19% to 4,158.74 points. The blue-chip Dow (DJI) rose 1.25% to 33,423.74 points. Meanwhile, Treasury yields were higher. The longer-end 10-year yield (US10Y) was up 3 basis points to 3.58% while the more rate-sensitive 2-year yield (US2Y) was up 9 basis points to 4.16%. The major averages had…

EUR/USD TECHNICAL ANALYSISThe euro appreciated considerably against the US dollar between March and early May, but the upward momentum faded and the tables turned in the blink of an eye after prices failed to break above the psychological level of $1.1100, a key technical ceiling worth keeping a close eye on.In recent weeks, EUR/USD probed the $1.1075/$1.1100 band multiple times, but was repelled lower on every single occasion, with the pair in retreat and trading at $1.0825 on Wednesday afternoon following its last unsuccessful attempt to clear overhead resistance.Although the outlook remains positive, euro bulls have valid reasons to worry…

As a newbie trader, you have constantly been encouraged to practice demo trading first before going live. Through demo trading, you were able to hone the basic trading skills, develop a trade plan, conduct proper risk management, and understand trading psychology (at least we hope so!) without putting your hard-earned cash on the line. Once you were able to demonstrate consistent profitability and build up your confidence in taking trades, you decided that it was time for you to get your feet wet and open a live trading account. Since you were already hitting consecutive wins on demo, making huge profits with…

Headlines:Markets:NZD leads, JPY lags on the dayEuropean equities mixed; S&P 500 futures up 0.3%US 10-yeaar yields down 3 bps to 3.518%Gold down 0.1% to $1,986.53WTI crude up 0.5% to $71.23Bitcoin down 1.1% to $26,675It was a quiet session in terms of headlines but there were some decent and light moves during the session at least.The handover from Asia saw major currencies stuck in very narrow ranges but that extended in European morning trade, as the dollar gathered a bit of poise – particularly against the euro, pound and yen.EUR/USD fell from 1.0860 to 1.0820 while GBP/USD declined from 1.2480 to…

Share: Debt dispute continues to simmer. The US Dollar could come under pressure, economists at Commerzbank report. No solution in the US debt dispute “As expected, the summit about raising the US debt ceiling did not result in an agreement. The FX market does not show any signs of nervousness in view of the approaching debt deadline.” “The longer it takes to find a resolution for the debt dispute, the more the sentiment in the US is likely to be affected by the suspense. As that would point more towards a further cooling of the economic momentum this…

USD/JPY ANALYSIS & TALKING POINTSJapan’s GDP report gives hawks hope.US debt ceiling dominates headlines and price action as markets yearn for more clarity.200-day MA under threat while ascending triangle breakout not far away. Recommended by Warren Venketas Get Your Free JPY Forecast JAPANESE YEN FUNDAMENTAL BACKDROPThe Japanese Yen looks to be heading for its 5th consecutive loss against the USD after last nights US debt ceiling negotiations showed some positivity but not enough to ease market concerns just yet. Investors remain in favor of the greenback as a safe haven currency as opposed to the yen. This preference was even…

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One of the reasons why many traders lack the accuracy needed to become consistently profitable is because many traders try to trade against the flow of the market. In other words, they are trading against the trend. Smart trend following traders on the other hand know that trading in the direction of the trend significantly increases the chances that the direction of the trade would be right. This is why the statement, “Trade with the trend…,” carry a lot of wisdom in it. Trend continuation strategies is a type of trend following strategy wherein traders trade in the direction of…