Author: FX

Coming up on Saturday, 31 December 2022 are the December PMIs from China’s National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) and the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing (CFLP). The December results are likely to show the ill-effects of surging COVID-19 Covid-19 Covid-19 or the novel Coronavirus is a pandemic that has yielded wide ranging economic turmoil and volatility across financial markets in 2020.  The first cases of Covid-19 were reported in Wuhan, China in late 2019. Since then, the virus has expanded globally, infecting millions worldwide.  The virus has been extremely controversial, namely in the United States, which became heavily politicized during the…

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There weren’t many safe havens in 2022 but energy was one of them. Oil finished today with a flurry, gaining $2.03 to $80.43 for the first annual close above $80 since 2013. It was far from a smooth ride though as oil surged to $130.50 on fears that Russian supplies would be cut off before falling all the way back to $70.08 earlier this month.Further out the curve, prices have moved up and that’s made energy the best sector in the S&P 500. The volatility on the yearly chart since 2020 is staggering. oil yearlyGoing into next year, many are…

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US 10 year yield yearlyThis is the most-important chart in the world.When you watch TV, it’s all about the annual losses in stock markets but there’s far more money in global bonds and this year wasn’t just a bad year, it was the worst in living memory.Bonds puked in 2022 to end a 40-year cycle of falling rates that started in the early 1980s. Where this chart goes in 2023 and beyond is the single biggest driver of global markets. So far the high was 4.33% and you could argue that 4% has been rejected but it will surely be…

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To put it lightly, it has been a wild year for the crypto sector. In the span of less than 12 months, the third-most valuable stablecoin imploded, leading to a domino effect that saw crypto lender Celsius go bankrupt, Three Arrows Capital’s founders go runabout and one of crypto’s most “altruistic” executives flown home in cuffs. Do Kwon — “Steady lads” Do Kwon — “Your size is not size” SBF — “Sell me all you want. Then go fuck off.” Alex Mashinsky — “All funds are safe.” Voyager — “We have the experience to […] weather any bear market.” TechCrunch…

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There are two major risks that markets are grappling with: That inflation stays too high or gets stuck at 4%That growth falls off a cliff because rates are too high and the lagged effects of monetary policyThe Fed is in the middle, trying to engineer a soft landing and sounding far too confident about it. A camel has a better chance of passing through the eye of a needle than the Fed of nailing a soft landing so it’s much more a question of on which side they miss. In terms of how they characterize risks, they’re much more worried…

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USD/CAD struggles at the 20-day EMA and tumbles towards the 1.3530 area. USD/CAD Price Analysis: Oscillators offering mixed signals, but price action stalling at crucial EMAs to keep the pair rangebound. The USD/CAD advance stalled at the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3570 and dropped toward the 50-day EMA as the US Dollar (USD) weakened, while crude oil extended its recovery, a tailwind for the Canadian Dollar (CAD). At the time of writing, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3530. USD/CAD Price Analysis: Technical outlook From a daily chart perspective, the USD/CAD dropped to fresh two-day lows but shy of…

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Forex Trading Course Walkthrough Talking Points:This is the first of a ten-part series in which we walk through articles from DailyFX Education. The aim of this series is simplicity while traversing some of the more important aspects of the FX market along with traders’ strategies and approaches. If you would like to access the full suite of educational articles offered by DailyFX, you can get started with the beginner section at this link: DailyFX Forex for Beginners In many ways, the Forex market is like many other markets: The goal is to buy low, sell high (or for short positions,…

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GBP/USD holds to decent gains around 1.2070s but below the 200-day EMA. US Chicago Manufacturing PMI exceeded estimates but remains at contractionary territory. GBP/USD Price Analysis: Upward biased, but needs to clear the 200-DMA to extend its gains. The Pound Sterling (GBP) pares its losses against the  US Dollar (USD) due to risk aversion dominating the last trading day of 2022. Wall Street extended its losses, while the lack of news kept the GBP/USD within familiar exchange rates. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD is trading at 1.2079 after testing daily lows of 1.2009. US equities continued to fall…

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