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Top 2023 Risks – Inflation, China Covid Response, Russia-Ukraine WarInflation is hoped to loosen its grip in 2023. What if it doesn’t?China’s Covid response has changed, but it’s huge problems with the virus haven’tRussia is mired in Ukraine, but shows little appetite to leave Recommended by David Cottle Get Your Free Top Trading Opportunities Forecast From bloody war in Ukraine through Covid’s grim legacy and on to the terrible return of inflation – a dragon long-thought slain – 2022 saw the world adrift on a storm-tide of troubles. And, for all the New Year forecasts cascading out of banks, economic…
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader works on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly By Lewis Krauskopf NEW YORK (Reuters) – U.S. stock investors could not be more eager to turn the page on 2022, a brutal year dominated by market-punishing Federal Reserve rate hikes designed to tamp down the steepest inflation in 40 years. The is down nearly 20% year-to-date with only a few trading days left in 2022, on pace for its biggest calendar-year drop since 2008. The carnage has been even more severe…
Short term, Elliott wave view in Tesla (TSLA) suggests that the decline from 11.01.2022 high is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 11.01.2022 high, wave ((i)) ended at 210.14 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 223.80. The stock extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 172.01, and bounce in wave ((iv)) ended at 200.82. Final leg lower wave ((v)) ended at 165.38 which completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 corrective rally ended at 198.92 with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 188.5, pullback in wave ((b)) ended at…
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An liquefied natural gas (LNG) tanker is tugged towards a thermal power station in Futtsu, east of Tokyo, Japan November 13, 2017. REUTERS/Issei Kato/File Photo/File Photo By Yuka Obayashi TOKYO (Reuters) -Japanese companies inked several deals on Tuesday to receive liquefied (LNG) supplies, with a preliminary agreement lasting up to 10 years with Oman LNG and a 20-year deal with U.S.-based Venture Global. LNG supply has been tight since Russia invaded Ukraine and cut gas supply flows to Europe, leading European nations to import record amounts of LNG cargoes, straining global supplies and elevating prices. Top…
Takehiko Nakao is a former senior Japanese Finance Ministry official. A former Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs (which means he was in charge of yen intervention decisions). He is being touted as a contender to replace Governor Haruhiko Kuroda next year when Kuroda’s term finishes in April 2023.Reuters carry a piece with comments from Nakao:”The BOJ has not succeeded so much in raising inflation expectations and bringing down real interest rates while side-effects became larger. I was thinking the current framework must be modified sooner or later,” he said.”I am not sure about the reason for the latest action,…
Early Wednesday morning in Asia, Reuters came out with the headlines while quoting anonymous US official to suggest that the US is considering new Covid measures for travellers from China. “The US government may impose new COVID-19 measures on travelers to the United States from China over concerns about the “lack of transparent data” coming from Beijing, U.S. officials said on Tuesday” mentioned the news. Market’s optimism fades Following the news, S&P 500 Futures tick down to print the mild intraday losses around 3,852, which in turn allows the US Dollar Index to remain firmer and extend the previous day’s…
The December meeting Summary of Opinions is here, giving more insight into the decision to widen the tolerance band on JGB YCC:Check out that post for the summary points of the Summary. Despite the small, but huge impact, policy tweak there is little in the Summary to indicate any imminent tightening of policy. This is not much of a surprise, but the yen is losing ground regardless:ADVERTISEMENT – CONTINUE READING BELOW Source link
Tesla, Nasdaq 100, Fed, Illiquidity – Asia Pacific Market OpenTesla’s market capitalization no longer towers over its competitionNasdaq 100 sank as Tesla plunged 11.41%, Treasury yields soaredBe wary of volatility as holidays make for thin trading conditions Recommended by Daniel Dubrovsky Get Your Free Equities Forecast Asia-Pacific Market Briefing – Nasdaq 100 Sinks With Tesla as Treasury Yields SoarVolatility roared back to life as risk aversion struck Wall Street in the first trading session after the Christmas holiday break. This is in line with historical performance in the days leading into and after the holiday since 1990. The tech-heavy Nasdaq…
2022 was a massive year for the financial markets as we likely saw a genuine sea change in the economic environment, monetary policy and investor sentiment. Here are our top three takeaways from trading this year, which hopefully contributes to becoming better analysts and risk managers in 2023! Be Mindful of the Market Environment If you’ve been trading or investing for 10 years or less, then 2022 may have been a shock to you. It was the likely end to more than a decade of low inflation/interest rates and hyper-stimulative central bank monetary policies, which generally benefited long-term holders of…