Author: FX

London copper prices rose to an all-time high today on prospects for a US-China trade truce.Copper is one of the most-levered trades to global growth and Chinese growth in particular. It’s also benefiting from expectations of demand around electricity demand, either via data centers or rebuilding green grids.There is a structural deficit building in markets and governments are looking to spur new investments in mines but there are extremely long — often +10 year — timelines to develop mines and that sets up the likelihood of a persistent deficit. It’s a theme I’ve been writing about for years and it’s…

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The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, released on October 28, showed U.S. home prices rising just 1.5% year-over-year in August 2025. That’s down from 1.6% growth in July and marks the seventh consecutive month of slowing. It’s also the weakest growth since mid-2023. That might not sound dramatic, but to traders and economists, home prices are like a fever thermometer for the economy. When home prices change, everything from your job prospects to inflation rates can shift. See, home prices aren’t just about real estate. They’re a leading economic indicator that can predict recessions, influence consumer spending, and signal whether the…

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Central banks:US-China headlines:Market headlines:Market moves:AUD leads, CHF lags on the dayEuropean equities mixed; S&P 500 futures up 0.3%US 10-year yields up 1 bps to 3.993%Gold up 1.7% to $4,018.15WTI crude oil up 0.4% to $60.40Bitcoin up 0.3% to $113,199Markets continue to gear towards the major events this week, with the first one up later today in the form of the FOMC meeting. Just before that though, there will be the Bank of Canada announcing their own policy decision with a 25 bps rate cut expected. As for the Fed, they are also expected to do the same in cutting rates…

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Gold may have come under pressure early this week but HSBC sees that as just being a brief setback for the precious metal. The firm sees the rally in gold carrying over to the new year, with prices set to peak in the first half of 2026.The key factors that HSBC are pointing to in driving the rally are safe haven flows, rising fiscal deficits, and renewed threats to the Fed’s independence as well as the US’ fiscal stability in general. Adding to that, the firm argues that strong inflows from ETFs and real money accounts will also continue to…

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EUR/JPY is having trouble making new lows below a mid-channel support zone. Think the pair has hit bottom this week? Check out what’s cookin’ on the 4-hour time frame! EUR/JPY 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The euro slipped a bit against the yen earlier this week, even after some upbeat mid-tier data out of the Euro Area. The move likely had more to do with yen strength than euro weakness. Traders turned less cautious after Trump and Takaichi’s meeting eased U.S.-Japan trade tensions, while Japanese officials’ comments on studying the impact of yen weakness revived talk of possible intervention. Remember…

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