Author: FX

Beginning November 1st, all medium and heavy-duty trucks coming into the US will be tariffed at 25%We will wait on the details but in the USA, the FHWA classifiesMedium-duty truck = Classes 4–6, GVWR 14,001–26,000 lbHeavy-duty truck = Classes 7–8, GVWR 26,001 lb and upDon’t think of these as the retail-type trucks you see on the road (like a Ford F150) but as hauling trucks. This isn’t not important news for the major automakers.In the bigger picture, Tariff Man continues to press that issue. There was a hope that Liberation Day was basically a one-and-done that would be ratcheted down…

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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept interest rates on hold at 3.60% as expected, but cautious commentary from Governor Bullock limited the Aussie’s gains. Although policymakers voted unanimously to sit on their hands for now, their official statement struck a somber tone, noting that “recent data, while partial and volatile, suggest that inflation in the September quarter may be higher than expected.” Let’s examine which setups from our watchlist capitalized on this mixed RBA outcome and how they performed against a backdrop of U.S. government shutdown concerns and NFP positioning. Watchlists are price outlook & strategy discussions supported by…

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High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. Advisory warning: investingLive is not an investment advisor, investingLive provides references and…

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Australian Dollar (AUD) may edge lower; any decline is likely part of a lower range of 0.6580/0.6620. In the longer run, AUD remains neutral but is now expected to trade in a narrower range of 0.6555/0.6640AUD remains neutral but is now expected to trade in a narrower range of 0.6555/0.6640. AUD/USD remains neutral 24-HOUR VIEW: “When AUD was at 0.6595 in the early Asian session last Friday, we held the view that it ‘could test the support at 0.6570 before recovering.’ Our expectation did not materialise, as AUD traded in a quiet manner between 0.6590 and 0.6614, closing largely unchanged…

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EUR/JPY has surged past its 2024 and September highs, confirming renewed bullish momentum. A short-term pullback toward 175.00/174.70 could attract buyers, keeping the broader uptrend intact with upside targets at 177.60 and 178.80, Société Générale’s FX analysts note. Strong uptrend extends as EUR/JPY gaps higher”EUR/JPY has surpassed both the 2024 high and the September peak, opening with a significant upward gap. This underscores a strong resurgence in upward momentum. Should a brief pullback occur, the gap area around 175.00/174.70 is expected to offer initial short-term support.” “If the pair maintains above this zone, the uptrend is likely to continue. The next…

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The euro is quickly knocked down on the headlines here, with EUR/USD falling by 0.6% now to 1.1665 on the day. EUR/GBP has also dropped by 0.3% to 0.8680 as French political woes are weighing on the currency. At the same time, French stocks have deepened losses as well with the CAC 40 index now down 1.7% on the day.Newly appointed French prime minister Lecornu was immediately under pressure on the weekend as he struggled to get his fiscal affairs in order. There were concerns about having to get backing on the budget in order to address the growing deficit…

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After slipping from 2.0300, EUR/NZD looks ready to retest key inflection points that could set the stage for another leg higher in its longer-term uptrend. Here’s what we’re seeing on the daily time frame! EUR/NZD Daily Forex Chart by TradingView The euro took a few punches last week as mixed data and rising Russia-Ukraine tensions overshadowed hawkish signals from the ECB. Meanwhile, the New Zealand dollar benefited from higher gold prices, improved risk sentiment, and possibly a recovery from its oversold conditions ahead of RBNZ’s decision this week. Remember that directional biases and volatility conditions in market price are typically…

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