Author: FX
If you checked trading platforms Sunday evening expecting panic, you saw something stranger: oil up, stocks barely down, bonds falling, Bitcoin rising. Markets don’t follow textbooks when nobody knows what happens next. Here’s what happened this weekend and why mixed signals matter more than clean crashes. What Happened This Weekend Over February 28 to March 1, 2026, the U.S. and Israel launched joint strikes on Iran, killing Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in the largest American military action in the region since the 2003 Iraq invasion. Iran retaliated massively, striking over 20 U.S. bases across Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Jordan, Saudi…
When the market hears bombs, it buys bonds.Or at least that’s usually the case. This time, the market is weighing whether the war in Iran is inflationary due to the 4.5% rise in oil prices so far. Notably, the gains in the oil market have been halved since the open but yields are at the highs of the day.US 10-year yields are up 1.3 bps to 3.975% after falling below the big figure late last week. You could argue there is some profit taking ongoing on a “sell the fact” trade but it’s still surprising to see yields higher.Looking at…
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, depreciated after reaching five-week highs, hovering around 97.90 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the downside in the Greenback may be limited as escalating Middle East tensions boost safe-haven demand.The United States (US) and Israel launched coordinated strikes on Iran over the weekend, reportedly killing Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Tehran responded with attacks on US assets in neighboring countries, including the United Arab Emirates (UAE), Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Iraq, and Syria.US President Donald Trump said hundreds…
An MT4 arrow indicator is a technical analysis tool that displays directional arrows on price charts when specific trading conditions are met. The arrows typically appear as up-pointing markers for potential buy signals and down-pointing markers for potential sell signals. These indicators run algorithms in the background—anything from simple moving average crossovers to complex multi-timeframe analysis. When the programmed criteria align, the indicator paints an arrow at that candlestick. Think of it as a visual alert system that processes technical calculations faster than any human could manually. Most arrow indicators fall into three categories. Trend-following types generate signals based on…
PEC+ agreed a modest oil output boost of 206,000 barrels per day on Sunday. The initial expectations were for no change but last week a leak said they were considering an additional 137K bpd. Ultimately, they decided on even more — likely due to the US strikes on Iran. The crude won’t be produced until April but Saudi Arabia last week said it was prepared to increase production in the event of a disruption.The eight OPEC+ members are Saudi Arabia, Russia, UAE, Kazakhstan, Kuwait, Algeria, Iraq and Oman.Eyes are fully fixed on the oil market today as we get ready…
Analysis-Khamenei killing shatters Iran’s order, triggers high-stakes succession race Source link
Transocean’s debt load has declined but the most important piece of news has so far been that of Transocean acquiring Valaris (VAL), its fellow offshore driller, that has been reporting positive profitability and is virtually free of debt. In this article, I will analyze what the future has in store for Transocean following the last transaction. Valaris acquisitionThe Valaris acquisition deal would close in the second half of this year. As a consequence, Transocean’s backlog will increase to $10 billion, thus making the company by far the largest offshore driller. This is essential for the company, given the fact that Transocean’s…
Australia’s January CPI delivered a double beat — headline inflation held firm at 3.8% year-over-year while the trimmed mean rose to its highest level in 16 months — but a chaotic macro backdrop made the post-event price action anything but straightforward. Which of our four Aussie strategies managed to move beyond the watchlist stage, and how much did geopolitical noise muddy the fundamental signal? Watchlists are price outlook & strategy discussions supported by both fundamental & technical analysis, a crucial step towards creating a high-quality discretionary trade idea before working on a risk & trade management plan. If you’d like…
The US and Israel struck Iran Saturday, killing its Supreme Leader. This week, the Strait of Hormuz, an oil shock, and NFP Friday dominate every trade. Source link
US-Iran conflict disrupts thousands of flights as travel chaos deepens Source link