Author: FX

The average tariff rate on U.S. imports jumped from 2.6% to 13% over the course of 2025, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. On paper, that kind of increase should have pushed inflation higher. Instead, headline inflation actually eased from 2.9% year over year in December 2024 to 2.7% in December 2025. Core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also slowed from 3.2% to 2.6%.Did tariffs somehow stop being inflationary?Not exactly. Although foreign exporters did not reduce prices enough to offset the tariffs, U.S. companies, concerned about losing market share, chose to absorb much of…

Range traders huddle up! NZD/USD looks ready to bounce from an established range support zone, with bulls holding the line so far. Could this open the door for a move toward the higher areas of interest? Let’s take a closer look at the 4-hour time frame: NZD/USD 4-hour Forex Chart Faster with TradingView Uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy and hawkish comments from FOMC members had traders unloading “risky” currencies like the New Zealand dollar and running to the Greenback. Lately, though, some of the tariff and U.S.-Iran conflict nerves have cooled off. On top of that, Australia’s hotter-than-expected CPI print…

Gold (XAU/USD) sticks to modest intraday gains below the $5,200 mark through the Asian session on Wednesday and remains close to the monthly peak, touched the previous day. Geopolitical risks remain in play amid a buildup of American forces in the Middle East ahead of the third round of US-Iran nuclear talks, scheduled on Thursday. This turns out to be a key factor that revives demand for the safe-haven precious metal. Apart from this, the emergence of some US Dollar (USD) selling provides an additional boost to the commodity and contributes to the intraday move up.Despite the US Federal Reserve’s…

Hyundai Motor to unveil multi-billion-dollar investment in South Korea, source says Source link

Australia’s consumer prices rose more than expected in January, while core inflation climbed to its highest level in over a year, solidifying market expectations for another RBA interest rate hike. The monthly headline CPI rose 0.4% in January, beating the median forecast of a 0.3% uptick and keeping the annual reading steady at 3.8% instead of dipping to the projected 3.7% figure. The more closely watched trimmed mean measure, which is considered a proxy for underlying or “core” inflation, ticked up to 3.4% year-over-year from 3.3% previously, reaching its highest level in 16 months. Key Takeaways Headline CPI: +0.4% month-on-month;…

The Market Sentiment Indicator MT5 pulls data from broker feeds or aggregated trading platforms to show current positioning across retail traders. Think of it as a contrarian signal generator. When 85% of traders hold long positions on GBP/USD, that extreme reading often precedes a reversal not because the crowd is always wrong, but because there’s simply fewer buyers left to push prices higher. This isn’t some mystical formula. The indicator displays a straightforward ratio: if 70% of active positions are long, the gauge shows 70/30. Most versions update in real-time or near real-time, though some retail implementations refresh every few…

This is just a post for data, I’ll have details and analysis posted separately. Background:Australia January CPI preview: core inflation steady, electricity lifts headline This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at investinglive.com. Source link

Silver (XAG/USD) has printed a classic short-term moving average shift that often shows up near potential turning points. Even with today’s red close, the overall moving average structure has improved enough to trigger a bullish crossover! The next few sessions will help reveal whether this is a genuine bullish trend transition or a brief rebound within a wider consolidation. Welcome to “TA Alert of the Day.” Each day after the market close, MarketMilk scans for popular technical indicator alerts. We use these alerts as the basis for a mini-lesson, breaking down what each alert means, why it matters, and how…

Australia will release its key set of inflation figures for the month of January on Wednesday, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) expected to rise by 3.7%, slightly lower than the 3.8% in the last month of 2025.What really matters in Australia’s inflation data?If you’ve ever felt slightly lost when looking at Australia’s inflation numbers, you’re not alone. In contrast to the US, where a single CPI print often dominates the narrative, Australia presents a variety of factors, each with varying weights.The headline figures come from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The quarterly CPI is the full basket, the…

Copper and everything related to it is rallying once again today. It’s a theme I’ve been writing about for years.The Scotiabank metals team put out their latest valuation check on the base metals mining space and the takeaway is that things are starting to look reasonable — but not cheap.Cu miners are now trading at an average implied copper price of $6.48/lb, which is a record high in absolute terms but only a 12% premium to spot at $5.78/lb. That 12% premium has come up from just 3% at the start of the year, but it’s still well below the…