Author: FX

Markets swung wildly Thursday as hotter US PPI data crushed the “done deal” narrative for a September rate cut, sending Treasury yields and the dollar higher. Stocks held firm, oil climbed, gold slipped, and traders braced for a packed Friday of data and the US–Russia meeting. Here are headlines you may have missed in the last trading sessions! Headlines: US Treasury Secretary Bessent said BOJ is ‘behind the curve’ on inflation, thinks the central bank would be hiking rates AUD Rallied After Jobs Report Pushed RBA Rate Cut Odds Toward November U.K. GDP growth rate prel for Q2 2025: 0.3%…

The Japanese Yen attracts fresh buyers following the release of Japan’s upbeat Q2 GDP print.The USD stalls Thursday’s strong US PPI-inspired recovery move and also weighs on USD/JPY.The divergent BoJ-Fed policy expectations back the case for a further depreciation of the pair.The Japanese Yen (JPY) maintains its strong bid tone against a broadly weaker US Dollar (USD) and drags the USD/JPY pair to the 147.00 mark during the early European session on Friday. Data released earlier today showed that Japan’s economy grew more than expected in the second quarter despite US tariff headwinds. This reaffirms expectations that the Bank of…

Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Friday that the monetary policy falls under jurisdiction of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Kato further stated that he expects the Japanese central bank to conduct appropriate monetary policy to sustainably and stably hit its price target. Key quotesMonetary policy falls under jurisdiction of BoJ.Expect BoJ to conduct appropriate monetary policy to sustainably, stably hit its price target, working closely with government.No comment on Bessent’s comments on BoJ Market reaction At the time of writing, the USD/JPY pair is trading 0.05% lower on the day to trade at 147.05. Japanese Yen FAQs The Japanese Yen (JPY) is…

China’s factory output and retail sales growth slowed in July, missing expectations and underscoring the policy challenge of sustaining growth amid weak domestic demand and global headwinds.Industrial output rose 5.7% year-on-year, down from June’s 6.8% and the weakest since November 2024, while retail sales growth eased to 3.7% from 4.8%. Both trailed forecasts. Fixed asset investment increased just 1.6% in January–July versus expectations for 2.7%.The data come as Beijing faces pressure from US trade policies, soft domestic consumption, and factory-gate deflation — with the producer price index falling 3.6% in July for a second straight month. Authorities have pledged measures…

NZD/USD softens to around 0.5915 in Friday’s Asian session.China’s Retail Sales rose 3.7% YoY in July, softer than expected.Fed rate cut bets in the September meeting might cap the downside for the pair.The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers near 0.5915 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pares gains against the US Dollar (USD) after the release of Chinese economic data. Traders will keep an eye on the US July Retail Sales data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge, which are due later on Friday.Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics…

The Market Sessions MT4 Indicator is designed to highlight specific trading hours for major global markets such as London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney. It automatically marks these sessions with color-coded boxes or background highlights, giving traders a clear view of when each session starts and ends. This visual aid helps traders adapt their strategies to match the market’s activity level. For example, the London-New York overlap often has high volatility and strong price movements, a prime time for short-term trades. Why Session Timing Matters Knowing the active session is crucial because each market has its unique trading behavior. The…

Warren Buffett / Berkshire Hathaway Q2 2025 portfolio moves, in summary from the latest Berkshire Hathaway 13-F filingNew and Increased PositionsUnitedHealth Group (UNH) – New 5M-share stake (~US$1.6B value, 18th largest Berkshire position).First time back in UNH since 2010; stock jumped 6–7% in after-hours trading on the news.Purchase comes despite UNH’s troubled year: ~50% share price drop YTD, DOJ investigation into Medicare billing, CEO resignation, and reduced 2025 earnings outlook.Seen as a contrarian bargain move; possibly initiated by investment lieutenants Todd Combs or Ted Weschler.Nucor (NUE) – New position; steelmaker’s shares jumped nearly 8% after disclosure.Lennar (LEN) – Significantly increased…

The USDJPY reacted to the 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart and the broken 38.2% retracement of the 2025 trading range following the U.S. PPI release. Momentum then carried the pair higher, testing the 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 147.813, where sellers leaned on the first attempt. Just above, at 147.887, sit last week’s swing highs.The bounce to the upside has now brought the pair back between the 100- and 200-bar moving averages—levels that defined last week’s entire trading range. Earlier this week, price briefly pushed above these averages toward targets at 148.58 and 148.779, but…

There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to test 7.1700; a clear break below this level is unlikely. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; for a continued decline, USD must first close below 7.1700, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Downward momentum is building24-HOUR VIEW: “In the early Asian session yesterday, we detected ‘a slight increase in downward momentum.’ We expected USD to ‘edge lower to 7.1780,’ but we pointed out that ‘given the mild downward pressure, any further decline is unlikely to threaten the support at 7.1700.’ We were not wrong,…

Before the hype surrounding meme stocks and AI, cannabis producers were one of the hottest topics among investors hoping to multiply their money quickly. The big bet was on the legalization of cannabis for non-medical use, its production, and sale in Canada, a change that effectively came into effect in October 2018.However, once the event took place, the classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern played out in stocks like Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth Corporation. Since then, their share prices haven’t just failed to recover — they’ve collapsed by more than 95%. Not even BTCUSD has seen a…