Author: FX
Halvio Capital generated a return of 5.62% during Q4 2025, outperforming major equity benchmarks compared to the returns of 2.2% and 2.7% for the Russell 1000 Growth Index and S&P 500, respectively, for the same period. The portfolio exited positions in Source link
EUR/USD prolonged its agony throughout the week, poising to print losses of 0.70%, as it fell 0.20% on Friday, despite the release of mixed economic data in the US. In the European Union, Retail Sales exceeded forecasts, but traders’ focus remains around the dynamics of the US and the Dollar. The pair trades at 1.1636 after hitting a daily peak of 1.1662.Euro remains under pressure despite mixed US data, as investors stay focused on Dollar dynamicsDecember’s US Nonfarm Payroll figures were mixed as the economy added 50K jobs, below forecast for a 60K increase, also below November’s 64K print. Nevertheless,…
Markets:Gold up $28 to $4503Silver up 3.8%WTI crude up $1.20 to $58.97US 10-year yields flat at 4.17%S&P 500 up 0.8% to fresh recordUSD leads, JPY lagsIt was a lively news day but not as much as it could have been. The Supreme Court released a decision on Friday as expected but it wasn’t about tariffs, so we will continue to wait for that. The next possible date is Wednesday, which has also been scheduled as a ‘decision day’.In terms of what happened, the non-farm payrolls report led to volatile trading. The dollar rose on the kneejerk, then fell around 25…
Trump urges US oil giants to repair Venezuela’s ’rotting’ energy industry Source link
Friday was about the jobs report but the week ahead will see the market tilt towards earnings.. The S&P 500 is flirting with 7,000, yields are looking for direction, and the solid economy in 2026 narrative is crowded.The bank numbers and commentary will serve as a high-stakes health check on the US consumer—specifically if loan losses are finally starting to bite. If the consumer is cracking under the weight of higher rates, Jamie Dimon’s commentary will be the first place we see it.Beyond the banks, we’re looking for a signal that the freight recession has found a floor and if…
High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. Advisory warning: investingLive is not an investment advisor, investingLive provides references and…
Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said the decline in the unemployment rate was welcome and described job growth as modest but stable. He also noted that hiring remains concentrated in healthcare and AI, leaving the overall picture uncomfortably narrow, adding that demand still looks healthy, while progress on inflation will take time, keeping upcoming data in focus.Key QuotesDrop in the unemployment rate is welcome.Hard to find firms outside of healthcare or ai who are hiring.Job growth is modest, very much in line with low-hiring and low-firing continuing.The narrowness of hiring is “uncomfortable.”Do not hear the cost of interest being cited…
Headlines from Barkin:Federal Reserve changes must be finely tuned to incoming dataBoth sides of central bank mandate face significant risksUnemployment remains at historic lows but has recently ticked upInflation has decreased but still remains above 2% targetInterest rates are now within range of neutral estimatesNo one wants labor market to experience further deteriorationUS economy has shown remarkable resilience despite major disruptionsJob growth and demand are currently narrow, driven by health care and aiHigh-income consumers are sustaining demand as sentiment dips elsewhereUncertainty from 2025 is expected to diminish as the “fog lifts”Tax refunds and deregulation will likely add stimulus to economyLower…
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) trades little changed against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, with GBP/CAD struggling to find direction as traders show a muted reaction to Canada’s latest employment report. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.8636, hovering near one-month highs.Data released by Statistics Canada showed that Net Change in Employment rose by 8.2K in December, beating market expectations for a 5K decline, but easing sharply from November’s 53.6K gain. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate climbed to 6.8% from 6.5%, coming in above forecasts of 6.6%.Wage growth also showed signs of cooling. Average Hourly Wages increased 3.7%…
AUD/USD trades lower on Friday, with the pair hovering around 0.6680 at the time of writing, down 0.23% on the day. The move mainly reflects renewed support for the US Dollar (USD), against a backdrop of mixed macroeconomic releases in the United States (US), while the Australian Dollar (AUD) remains weighed down by softer expectations for monetary tightening in Australia.The US Dollar is supported after the release of December labor market data in the United States. Figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that job creation slowed, with only 50,000 new jobs added, falling short of market expectations. However,…