Author: FX
US officials warn Iran may take months to yield under a naval blockade, despite Trump saying the war is near an end, with talks stalled and demands on uranium enrichment still far apart.Summary:Trump says the Iran war is “very close to over,” but negotiations remain stalled with wide gaps between both sides. The US is pressing for a 20-year enrichment freeze and removal of uranium, while Iran is offering far less. Officials and analysts warn Iran could take months or longer to feel enough economic pain from the blockade to concede. The US is prepared to sustain the naval blockade…
The S&P 500 hit a fresh record high on Wednesday as US-Iran ceasefire extension hopes fueled risk appetite while oil prices declined despite the ongoing Hormuz blockade. Source link
Gold price retreats during the session, down nearly 1%, as risk appetite improves and flows rotate toward US equities, pushing the S&P 500 index past the 7,000 figure, poised to test the all-time high at around 7.014. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades below $4,800 after reaching a peak of $4,871.Bullion eases as equity gains and firmer yields sap safe-haven demandSpeculation that talks between the US and Iran could end the conflict is growing after US President Donald Trump commented that the war was close to over, adding, “I think you’re going to be watching an amazing two days…
This is nothing really new as AP reported hours ago that a two-week ceasefire was on the table. At the moment, all the headlines are pointing towards peace.Despite that, there are some more equity bids on this and oil is ticking lower. The Nasdaq is now up 1% in its 11th (!) day in a row of gains.About an hour ago, Axios reported that the US and Iran made progress in talks on Tuesday, moving closer to a framework agreement to end the war. This article was written by Adam Button at investinglive.com. Source link
ING’s Bert Colijn notes that Eurozone industrial production rose just 0.4% in February versus January, leaving output below most of 2025 levels. He highlights that higher energy prices and the Middle East war are set to weigh further on energy‑intensive industry and investment.War and energy costs threaten production outlook”Eurozone industry has been very resilient throughout 2025 despite significant trade turmoil. But the start of 2026 has not been encouraging. As front-loading by American businesses has eased, production levels have dropped again. And while manufacturers have become more optimistic on infrastructure and defence investment promises, the Middle East war has dashed…
Lumen Technologies providing network connectivity to AWS Source link
Morgan Stanley’s profit beats estimates on dealmaking surge, trading boost Source link
Pressing your advantage is a good skill to have, but sometimes this strategy can get you into trouble. Here’s how you can utilize it properly in trading. Source link
FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEWThe S&P 500 has been surging like crazy as traders kept on unwinding the bearish war-led bets amid US-Iran deal optimism. The US-Iran war has been pushing the market lower on negative growth expectations and as those expectations now get repriced on the positive side, the S&P 500 has lots of room to reach new record highs. The playbook is very similar to April 2025. Looking ahead, everything now hinges on US-Iran talks expected to start tomorrow. Trump delivered some upbeat remarks tonight mentioning that we’re going to be watching an amazing two days ahead. If negotiations were to…
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that recent headlines around a possible diplomatic solution in the Middle East war have weakened the Dollar and supported EUR/USD. She argues FX may stay relatively muted until there is clearer evidence on the conflict path and a reliable easing of tensions. At that point, she expects the Dollar to come under renewed pressure and EUR/USD to trend higher.Dollar seen softening on de-escalation hopes”At least yesterday, the news flow seemed to give the market renewed hope that a diplomatic solution might still be possible in the war in the Middle East, which is why the dollar…