Author: FX

Australian inflation data for October 2025.Headline inflation is hotter than expected at 0% m/m vs. -0.2% expectedand 3.8% y/y vs. 3.6% expected and an RBA target band of 2-3%Core inflation is ugly, Trimmed mean 3.3% y/yYou can forget about rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia with data like this. more to come—The monthly data has now taken on the role as the official inflation rate, replacing the quarterly release. From the Australian Bureau of Statistics:the complete Monthly CPI as Australia’s primary measure of headline inflation‘The complete Monthly CPI will enable earlier detection of shifts in inflation and provide…

U.S. markets embraced a familiar “bad news is good news” narrative on Tuesday, with equities surging and the dollar slumping as a trio of disappointing economic reports reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. Check out the forex news and economic updates you may have missed in the latest trading session! Forex News Headlines & Data: Tomoko Yoshino, the leader of Japan’s largest labor union group, urged the government to do more to ensure that workers’ wage gains outpace inflation Germany GDP Growth Rate Final for September 30, 2025: 0.0% q/q (0.0% q/q forecast; -0.3%…

USD/JPY makes a U-turn and tumbles over 0.54% on Tuesday as investors grew confident that the Federal Reserve will cut rates at the December meeting, following a soft US inflation report, along with weaker than expected Retail Sales. At the time of writing the pair trades at 155.98, below the 156.00 figure for the first time in four days.USD/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlookThe USD/JPY is upwardly biased, but as of writing is texting previous resistance turned support, the February 10 high at 155.88. Nevertheless, the pair continues to print successive series of higher highs, higher lows an indication that bulls…

Nov. 25, 2025 5:08 PM ETThe Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® Fund ETF (XLY), VCR, FXD, FDIS, RSPD, RXIWSM, GNTX, PENN, DIN, CPRI, CPNG, APTV, WH, CHWY, KTBBy: Nilanjana Basu, SA News EditorprimeimagesGoldman Sachs analysts last week noted that hedge funds in Q3 2025 rotated away from consumer discretionary stocks into health care. The brokerage identified those health care stocks that experienced the largest net increases in hedge fund popularity in the Source link

Budget deficit $284 billion versus $235.05 billion estimate. Compares unfavorably to 2024 deficit of $257 billion.Total outlays $689 billion versus $584 billion in October 2024. Receipts $404 billion versus $327 billion in October 2024.Net customs receipts record $31.4 billion versus $7.3 billion in October 2024 This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com. Source link

USD/CHF holds near 0.8080 on Tuesday at the time of writing, with the pair showing little direction with simultaneous weakness in both the US Dollar (USD) and the Swiss Franc (CHF). Pressure on both currencies is offsetting itself, keeping the pair confined to a narrow range.The US Dollar is slipping as expectations for monetary easing strengthen noticeably. Markets now assign an 81% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in December, according to the CME FedWatch tool, up from 71% the previous day. This shift comes after a series of dovish-leaning remarks from policymakers. Federal Reserve Governor…

MoM 0.1% versus 0.1% estimate. Prior month 0.1%YoY 1.4% versus 1.4% estimate. Prior month 1.6% In a separate, housing report from the FHFAMonthly Home price 0.0% vs 0.4% last monthYoY 1.7% versus 2.4% last monthMonthly index 435.4 versus 435.6 last month This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com. Source link

EUR/USD posts mild gains on Tuesday’s European session, but remains trapped below 1.1550, changing hands at 1.1530 at the time of writing. German GDP data failed to boost the Euro (EUR), but the US Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading lower during most of the European session, with traders awaiting the release of the delayed US Retail Sales and Producer Prices Index (PPI) data, due later today.Data released earlier on Tuesday revealed that Germany’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has confirmed the preliminary estimations of a stalled economic growth in the third quarter, following a 0.3% contraction in the second.On Monday,…

Fundamental OverviewThe USD regained some ground in the past days but the momentum stalled as December rate cut odds jumped following Fed’s Williams dovish comments. As of now, the December rate cut odds stand around 70% but we won’t get much data before the FOMC meeting, so the focus will likely be mainly on jobless claims and ADP data. Weak data should keep weighing on the greenback, while strong data could provide some short-term support. On the JPY side, nothing has changed. The currency has been weakening since the last BoJ policy decision where the central bank left interest rates…

The True Range Bands MT4 Indicator is built around the concept of true range, which measures the real volatility behind every price bar. Instead of relying only on simple highs and lows, it calculates how much the market actually moves. This gives traders a more accurate picture of price pressure. The indicator then uses this information to create upper and lower bands that adjust as volatility changes. When volatility increases, the bands widen; when it decreases, the bands tighten. This helps traders easily spot calm and explosive market conditions. Identifying Trend Direction and Momentum These dynamic bands make it easier…