Author: FX

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Scandinavian currencies should also do well if geopolitical risk is priced out, with Sweden’s krona likely better positioned than Norway’s krone due to opposite exposures to energy prices, ING’s FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.Opposite energy price exposure favors Swedish Krona”The drop in NOK/SEK yesterday might be attributed to that. Sweden also reported an acceleration in July CPIF inflation to 3.0%, but that was widely expected, and core inflation actually decelerated faster than anticipated to 3.1%.” “We still aren’t forecasting any extra cut by the Riksbank, but admit this has become a much closer call after the EU-US trade deal. Anyway,…

Fundamental OverviewMuch like the stock market, Bitcoin found support this week from the dovish comments from Fed members. Fed’s Williams was the first opening the door for a cut in September which marked the bottom in many risk assets. That was followed by Fed’s Daly and Fed’s Kashkari who cited the NFP report and revisions as a reason to start thinking about cuts. Yesterday, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies rallied on the news that Trump was going to sign an executive order allowing cryptocurrencies and other alternative assets in retirement plans.Looking ahead, the focus has now turned to the US CPI…

The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular indicator that helps traders understand momentum and trend direction. When combined with volume data, its signals become more powerful and easier to trust. The MACD and Volumes MT4 Indicator plots both momentum and volume information in a single window, making it easier to spot solid trade opportunities at a glance. Why Volume Confirmation Matters This indicator works by showing MACD crossovers along with corresponding volume changes. When MACD crosses above or below its signal line, the indicator checks if the volume is strong enough to support the move. This extra layer…

AUD/CAD has formed lower highs and higher lows to consolidate inside a symmetrical triangle formation. Is it due for a breakout soon? Here are the support and resistance zones I’m watching on the 4-hour chart. AUD/CAD 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView This comdoll cross is still hovering around the middle of its triangle pattern, following a bounce off support and possibly setting its sights on the resistance at R1 (.9000) and a major psychological mark. Weaker crude oil prices appear to be weighing on the Canadian dollar so far, as some signs of progress between US-Russia talks are easing global…

Gold Technical Analysis, Gold Breakout Delivers Fresh All Time HighGold has surged to a fresh all time high, extending gains after the breakout was first reported by investingLive (formerly ForexLive.com). A powerful mix of fundamental drivers and clear technical signals has pushed gold prices into record territory, confirming that the yellow metal remains one of 2025’s top performing assets.Why Gold Is Hitting New Recordsinvestinglive gold new ATHTrade tensions are back in the spotlight after U.S. President Donald Trump doubled tariffs on Indian imports, sparking fears of a broader global trade escalation. That’s classic safe haven fuel for gold, and the…

The Japanese Yen meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session amid mixed BoJ rate hike cues.A positive risk tone further undermines the safe-haven JPY, though the downside seems cushioned.Rising Fed rate cut bets should cap any USD recovery and contribute to capping the USD/JPY pair.The Japanese Yen (JPY) drifts lower during the Asian session on Friday after the Summary of Opinions from the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) July meeting showed that policymakers remain worried about the US tariffs uncertainty. Adding to this, receding safe-haven demand turns out to be another factor undermining the JPY. This, along with the…

The Australian Dollar declines as RBA is widely expected to deliver a 25 basis point rate cut next week.The prospects for an RBA rate cut have strengthened as core inflation eased, with continued economic momentum in June.Trump has nominated Stephen Miran to replace Adriana Kugler on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.The Australian Dollar (AUD) depreciates against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, after three days of gains. The AUD/USD pair loses ground as traders are pricing in over 92% odds of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) next week, which would bring…

The Bank of England delivered its fifth consecutive rate cut since last summer, reducing Bank Rate by 0.25 percentage points to 4% following its August meeting. However, the decision revealed a deeply divided Monetary Policy Committee, with the vote split 5-4 – marking one of the closest decisions in recent memory as policymakers wrestle with competing inflation and growth pressures. Key Takeaways from the BOE Decision Narrow victory for doves: Five members voted to cut rates by 25bp, while four preferred to hold at 4.25%. One member (Alan Taylor) initially wanted a more aggressive 50bp cut but voted for 25bp…

Tariffs were once again front and center early in the day, with Trump putting the spotlight back on higher trade levies for chips and semiconductors, as well as possible oil-related sanctions. The BOE decision also stole the show with a “hawkish cut” as fewer than expected MPC members voted to ease. Here are headlines you may have missed in the last trading sessions! Headlines: Trump reportedly gearing up to slap additional 15% tariffs on Japan, reiterated threat of large tariffs on chips and semiconductors U.S. Secretary of State Rubio dismissed rumors of a Trump-Putin call Australia Building Permits MoM Final…