Author: FX

Weekend reports on a note from UBS arguing the US has a 93% chance in recession this year. I guess that means 93% chance the US is already in recession. I doubt it, but here is more. The reports state that:UBS’s forecast based on its assessment of several indicators like personal income, consumption, industrial production and employmentUBS says the economy has reached “historically worrying levels”UBS says the US economy is “soggy, soft, weak, yes, but not collapsing”, and analysts at the bank have not said firmly the country is in recession–I haven’t seen the note, just passing along what is…

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This isn’t a surprise but OPEC+ will continue to boost production by 137K in October after hiking by that exact amount in September.The market saw the September announcement as the baseline going forward, until brent prices fall below $60 or OPEC spare capacity is exhausted. IThe latest report from Reuters cites three sources familiar with OPEC talks.So far this year OPEC+ has raised output by 2.5 mbpd into a soft economy. That’s made oil a big underperformer in the commodity space but it hasn’t been as bad as it could be. That’s partly because China has been building oil inventories.This…

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The Yang Trader MT4 Indicator is built to make trend detection straightforward. Instead of relying only on price action or multiple complex indicators, this tool delivers clean visual signals. It shows traders when the market momentum is shifting and points out potential buy or sell opportunities. By simplifying the process, it removes much of the confusion that beginners and even experienced traders face. This makes it easier to plan trades and stick to a strategy without overthinking every move. How It Helps Traders One of the main benefits of the Yang Trader MT4 Indicator is clarity. Traders can quickly spot…

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