Author: FX
European reaction to Rubio’s speech on transatlantic ties at Munich Security Conference Source link
The Range Filter indicator functions as a volatility-adjusted moving average that adapts to market conditions. Unlike traditional moving averages that lag behind price, this indicator incorporates range-based calculations to filter out insignificant price movements. Here’s what makes it different: The indicator measures the average true range over a specified period and uses this data to create a dynamic filter. When price movement exceeds the calculated range threshold, the filter acknowledges it as a valid signal. Smaller movements that fall below this threshold get ignored entirely. Visually, traders see a colored line that shifts between bullish (typically blue or green) and…
Bitcoin Futures are hovering near $68,800 in mid-February 2026, attempting to stabilize after a sharp retracement from last year’s surge above $110,000. At the same time, Ethereum Futures are trading close to $2,050, nearly 50% below their prior highs above $4,000. While crypto appears to be “holding,” the broader backdrop tells a more complex story.Nasdaq Futures, which climbed above 26,000 during the late-2025 expansion phase, have cooled materially and are now trading closer to the 24,800 region. The index is no longer delivering clean upside momentum, and recent weeks show more rotational behavior than sustained expansion. That shift in macro…
The MT5 Volume Indicator displays tick volume—the number of price changes during each period. While forex doesn’t have centralized volume like stocks, tick volume serves as a reliable proxy for actual trading activity. More ticks typically mean more trades happening. The indicator appears as a histogram below your price chart. Green bars show periods where volume increased from the previous bar. Red bars indicate decreasing volume. The height of each bar represents the intensity of trading activity during that specific candle. This isn’t just decoration for your chart. Volume patterns reveal market psychology. High volume during uptrends suggests genuine buying…
MUFG’s Michael Wan views the detailed US–India interim trade deal, including tariff cuts and exemptions, as positive for India’s external position. He sees scope for USD/INR to briefly break below 90 in coming months, but expects only a shallow INR recovery. MUFG forecasts USD/INR at 89.50 in Q1 2026 before rising back to 93.00 by year-end on FDI repatriation and wider deficits.Tariff cuts help but upside later”USD/INR: US and India provided more details around the interim trade deal. Overall we think it is a positive, and we forecast USD/INR at 89.50 by March 2026 and 93.00 by Dec 2026″”Overall, we…
Exclusive-US military preparing for potentially weeks-long Iran operations Source link
Commerzbank’s FX analysts note that Singapore’s 2026 Budget emphasizes supply-side support, SME internationalisation and capital-market development, including fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme and Anchor Fund. The Singapore Dollar has outperformed most Asian peers, with USD/SGD nearing a 10-year low as the Straits Times Index hits record highs.Fiscal support and strong currency performance”Prime Minister Lawrence Wong unveiled the 2026 Budget yesterday, with a focus on supply-side support and capital market development.””In FX, USD-SGD was little changed at 1.2630 yesterday.””The pair is approaching the 10-year low of 1.2580.””This year, SGD is the second best performing Asian currency behind MYR…
Kenvue Q4 2025 Earnings Preview Source link
Markets spent the week whipsawing between conflicting economic signals, leaving most major currencies trapped in choppy, directionless trading as traders struggled to find conviction. The dollar opened Monday nursing losses from softer inflation expectations, only to stage a brief comeback Tuesday after disappointing retail sales initially triggered selling. Wednesday’s blockbuster jobs report—130,000 payrolls versus just 40,000 expected—sparked another round trip as the headline beat clashed with massive downward revisions showing 2025 added just 181,000 jobs instead of the initially reported 584,000. Friday’s cooler-than-expected CPI capped the week with fresh volatility, pushing inflation expectations back toward earlier Fed rate cuts. Beyond…
MUFG’s Lin Li and Khang Sek Lee note that China’s January CPI slowdown was heavily distorted by Chinese New Year base effects, with food and services dragging headline inflation. PPI deflation narrowed on stronger global metals prices and tech-related demand. They expect reflation to remain gradual despite anti-involution measures, while the PBOC’s “moderately loose” stance and upcoming easing should keep USD/CNY on a mild downward path in 2026.Base effects mask underlying reflation trend”Looking beyond the January prints, we think the reflation will likely remain gradual despite the ongoing anti-involution campaign.””In China, the PBOC has reinforced a clear easing bias for…