Author: FX

All aboard the rate-cut train.A soft US jobs report wasn’t bad enough to prompt recessions fears and instead the market is cheering on a more-dovish rate path for the Fed. There is now 134 bps in easing priced in, which gets the Fed close to 3%. What I worry is that we’re close to maximum easing already priced in, which doesn’t leave much of a Fed put from here if the data continues to worsen.The S&P 500 is up 22 points or 0.35% to 6525, which is a record high. The Russell 2000 likes it even better as it climbs…

WSJ Fedwatcher Nick Timiraos is out with a quick take on the jobs report. He doesn’t get too much into the details but says: A sharp slowdown in job growth this summer likely seals the case for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by a quarter percentage point at its meeting in two weeks.Notable is what he doesn’t say, which is that a 50 basis point cut is on the table. The market has bumped up 50 bps pricing to 14% now.Timiraos also write that the jobs report “further muddies the debate over the pace of cuts after [September].…

Most new forex traders make the same mistake: they try to skip straight to advanced strategies without building a foundation. It’s like trying to run before learning to walk, and it’s why so many fail. Dr. Benjamin Bloom from the University of Chicago studied 120 world-class performers, including elite athletes, concert pianists, and brilliant mathematicians. His discovery was remarkable: every single expert followed the same three-phase journey to mastery. No exceptions. No shortcuts. Phase One: The Playground Expertise begins with play, not work. Olympic swimmers started as kids who loved splashing in pools. Concert pianists began by being fascinated with…

Prior -32.8This is not a market-moving release. Consumer confidence has been improving steadily since the April’s lows but started to slip again from June onwards. The very high tariffs Trump slapped on Switzerland might be a big part of the problem. This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at investinglive.com. Source link

The JJN Big Trend MT4 Indicator is built to track large-scale market movements. Instead of showing every small fluctuation, it focuses on highlighting the major direction of the market. This makes it especially useful for traders who prefer swing or position trading. By showing clear signals, the indicator reduces guesswork and allows traders to spot trend reversals or strong continuations. Its simple design makes it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders. Why Traders Use It Many traders turn to this indicator because it helps them avoid emotional decisions. Instead of reacting to minor price changes, they can focus on…

The U.S. dollar is grabbing the spotlight today as Uncle Sam rolls out the latest labor market numbers. We’ve got our eyes on USD/CHF after the pair just bounced off a key trend resistance area. What do you think of this setup? USD/CHF 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The U.S. dollar turned higher on Thursday even as 10-year Treasury yields slipped, a sign that traders are brushing off recession worries despite softer labor market signals. As for the Swiss franc, it could see fresh safe haven demand if Uncle Sam’s August jobs numbers end up weighing on the Greenback. Remember…

Gold has been on a tear these days, but it looks like bulls are hitting a roadblock and could be due for a correction soon. Is this a good chance to hop in the precious metal’s ongoing climb? Check out these potential support levels on the 4-hour time frame. Gold (XAU/USD) 4-hour Chart by TradingView After hitting one record high after another earlier this week, gold appears to be taking a breather from its ascent as traders are holding out for bigger market catalysts. The upcoming U.S. NFP report could have strong implications for overall market sentiment and risk trends,…

Lackluster US job growth anticipated in August; focus on revisions Source link

Market players zoomed in on leading U.S. jobs indicators ahead of Friday’s NFP release, as the reports printed mixed results and kept the dollar on edge. Meanwhile, crude oil saw another nasty tumble when the EIA inventory report revealed a surprisingly larger build than expected. Check out the headlines and economic updates you may have missed in the latest trading sessions! Headlines: API crude oil inventories up by 0.6M barrels vs. estimated draw of 3.4M barrels Chinese regulators reportedly considering measures to curb speculation on equity markets, including easing some short-selling restrictions and introducing options to temper trading China imposed fibre optic…

The Running Median MT4 Indicator works by filtering price data through a moving median calculation rather than a moving average. This small but important difference reduces the effect of sharp spikes and sudden reversals. Unlike traditional moving averages that can be influenced heavily by outliers, the running median provides a more balanced view of price behavior. Traders can use it to identify the underlying trend without being distracted by temporary volatility. Why Traders Use the Running Median Many traders rely on this indicator because it helps them avoid false signals. In fast-moving markets, sudden price jumps…