Author: FX

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Gold price struggles to gain traction as USD recovers despite firm support above $3,000 and cautious Fed tone. The US Dollar rebounds following reports of Trump auto tariff announcement. Solid Durable Goods data, Fed comments on sticky inflation limit upside for Bullion bulls. Gold price has flat-lined late in the North American session, capped by the recovery of the US Dollar Index (DXY), which fell to a low of 104.18 before staging a recovery. The move was sponsored by the White House, which said that President Donald Trump would announce automobile tariffs at around 22:00 GMT. At the time of…

Today we saw a softer-than-expected Australian CPI print, potentially setting up AUD/JPY for a continued downside move in the short-term. With headline inflation dipping to 2.4% versus 2.6% expected, and core measures also easing, the odds of an RBA rate cut in May appear to be increasing steadily. Let’s examine how we may theoretically structure a trade plan around this development. This Article Is For Premium Members Only Become a Premium member for full website access, plus get: Ad-free experience Daily actionable short-term strategies High-impact economic event trading guides Unlimited Access access to MarketMilk™ Plus More! Source…

UK finance minister Reeves trims her spending plans in face of slowing economy Source link

Goldman Sachs is out with a note saying that high inflation and high survey-based inflation expectations raise the bar for possible rate cuts this year. They add that survey data are muddied by respondents’ political leanings, but still can’t be ignored. They also keep a door open for cuts saying that deteriorating economic indicators could still push the Fed to cut interest rates. Rising survey-based inflation expectations have been a new thing in 2025 and started to attract the attention from traders and policymakers. They are getting dismissed citing market-based inflation expectations which have been stable just a bit above…

Durable Goods Orders in the US rose unexpectedly in February.US Dollar Index stays in daily range above 104.00.Durable Goods Orders in the US rose by 0.9%, or $2.7 billion, in February to $289.3 billion, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This reading followed a 3.3% increase (revised from 3.1%) reported in January and came in better than the market expectation for a decrease of 1%.”Excluding transportation, new orders increased 0.7%,” the Census Bureau noted in its press release. “Excluding defense, new orders increased 0.8%. Transportation equipment, also up two consecutive months, led the increase, $1.4 billion or 1.5% to…

FTSE 100 edges up as inflation cools, eyes on Reeves' budget Source link

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Prior +3.0%Core CPI +3.5% vs +3.6% y/y expectedPrior +3.7%The readings are a surprise to the downside even as services inflation held unchanged at 5.0% in core terms on the month. Instead, goods inflation was the one leading the drop with a fall from 1.0% in January to 0.8% in February. The former will not be too welcome by the BOE as it reaffirms stickier inflation as a whole still.The pound is a touch softer on the report with GBP/USD falling to 1.2920 from around 1.2940 earlier. But given the breakdown, I wouldn’t see this as being too comforting for the…

The Australian Dollar rises amid reports that Trump may fast-track the implementation of tariffs on US Copper imports. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers unveiled the 2025/26 budget on Tuesday, proposing tax cuts totaling around A$17.1 billion over two rounds. The US Dollar strengthens as market caution grows ahead of US President Donald Trump’s tariff announcement on April 2. The Australian Dollar (AUD) received support as copper futures surged to a new record high on the Comex exchange on Tuesday, benefiting from Australia’s position as one of the leading Copper exporters. Bloomberg reports that Trump could accelerate the timeline for imposing tariffs…