Author: FX

Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida spoke earlier. Posts are here: Bank of Japan deputy governor Uchida: Japan’s economy has recovered moderatelyMore from Bank of Japan Deputy Governor UchidaMore again from Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Uchida – CPI to dip then riseUchida’s comments were extensive (three posts on them!), but in a very breif summary if you don’t want to scan all of them:Uchida warned that economic and inflation risks are tilted to the downside due to “extremely high” uncertainty surrounding global trade policy, particularly U.S. actions. While the BoJ will continue raising interest rates if its economic…

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The Ticks Volume MT4 Indicator measures how many times the price changes during a specific period, and displays that data as vertical bars beneath your chart. It’s not based on actual transaction volume like in stocks, but gives a reliable picture of activity in the Forex market. Each bar represents the number of ticks during one candle. A higher bar means more price movement — and possibly more interest from buyers or sellers. Lower bars signal quiet or uncertain market conditions. This helps traders see if a move is strong or weak, even if the price is rising or falling.…

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I had the forecast from Goldman Sachs posted yesterday during Asia time:Goldman Sachs expect three consecutive Federal Reserve 25bp cuts starting in SeptemberRecap/adding more now:Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming policy meeting on July 29-30, but anticipates rate cuts at each of the remaining three meetings in 2025:September 16-17 October 28-29 December 9-10Looking ahead, Goldman also forecasts two additional rate cuts by the Fed in early 2026.Analysts say that this expectaion is provided inflation expectations stay anchoredemphasises that the easing cycle is contingent on inflation not flaring up again, but with current…

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GBP/USD edges higher despite soaring UK borrowing as Dollar slips further The GBP/USD advances modestly during the North American session as the US dollar extends its losses for two straight days, despite data showing that UK government borrowing soared in June. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3504 up 0.12%. Read More… Pound Sterling trades stable while focus shifts to flash UK/US PMI data The Pound Sterling (GBP) demonstrates stability against its major peers on Tuesday, with investors awaiting preliminary United Kingdom (UK) S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for July, scheduled for release on Thursday.…

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EUR/JPY steadies as Japan and the EU brace for escalating tensions with the US.ECB rate decision serves as an additional catalyst for EUR/JPY.EUR/JPY consolidates above moving average resistance near 172.00.The Euro (EUR) is trading in a tight range against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Tuesday as trade tensions between the United States and its key partners remain a central focus. With EU-US and US-Japan trade talks currently underway, EUR/JPY is trading near 172.00 at the time of writing.Japan and the EU brace for impact as the US tariff deadline nearsBoth Japan and the European Union are preparing for a significant…

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The Dow Jones was flat on Tuesday after the tech rally sputtered, dragging chip stocks lower.Trump continues his campaign against Fed Chair Powell.Investors fumbled their bullish stance as earnings season sees a few dark spots.The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) remains trapped in consolidation around the 44,400 region on Tuesday. Earnings week is in full swing, and a few key misses on Tuesday gave investors cause for pause, twisting a kink into the tech rally and dragging down key blue chips.United States (US) President Donald Trump still has a lot to say about Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. The…

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Trump: Powell will be out soonEurope cut the rates 10 times, we did zeroPeople aren’t able to buy houses because this guy is a numbskullPowell tried to cut rates just before the election to try to KamalaRates should be at 1%. And state we are paying 4%We are paying over $1 trillion of interest that we have to pay because rates are too highBessent:Called for an internal investigation of the FedThey should be cutting rates and right now. This article was written by Greg Michalowski at investinglive.com. Source link

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Fundamental OverviewCrude oil went into a more dormant state after the huge volatility experienced in June during the Israel-Iran conflict. As the market erased the geopolitical premium, traders switched their focus back to global growth. The expectations continue to be skewed to the upside given the expansionary fiscal and monetary policies. Looking ahead, we have the August 1 tariff deadline that might keep the markets more on the defensive, but it certainly wouldn’t be the first time that Trump postpones a deadline or tones down his threats. So, the probabilities are more skewed for positive outcomes.In fact, the risks for…

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