Author: FX

DBS Group Research report, authored by Radhika Rao, reports that Moody’s has changed Indonesia’s rating outlook to ‘negative’ from ‘stable’ while affirming the Baa2 rating. The agency cited concerns about reduced predictability in policymaking and increased spending without corresponding revenue generation. The report emphasizes the potential for a downgrade if policy actions do not improve over the next 12-18 months.Moody’s negative rating outlook”Moody’s Ratings changed Indonesia’s rating outlook to ‘negative; from ‘stable’ on late Thursday, while affirming the Baa2 rating. The agency expressed far ranging concerns, citing “reduced predictability in policymaking, which risks undermining policy effectiveness and points to weakening…

There’s a moment in every drawdown, every flash crash, every this time is different panic where something shifts inside you. It’s not just fear — it’s the desperate need for someone, anyone, to tell you what’s going to happen next. Every trader wants certainty in a world that just reminded you it offers none.I’ve watched this pattern play out across decades of markets and it never changes. When the VIX spikes, when carry trades unwind, when central banks surprise (and this week when software stocks, silver and bitcoin plunge) — the first thing traders do isn’t analyze. It’s search. They…

Gold price (XAU/USD) rallies more than 3% on Friday, poised for a decent weekly gain as dip buyers emerged, following a session that pushed the yellow metal below the $4,800 mark. Worth noting that Friday has been a volatile session, with the non-yielding metal falling to a three-day low of $4,655 before erasing those previous losses. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,963.XAU/USD stages a sharp rebound toward $4,950 as soft US labor data revives Fed easing betsThe non-yielding metal is enjoying a healthy recovery from Thursday. Greenback’s initial weakness on Friday reflected worse-than-expected US labor market data…

UOB’s report by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya discusses the Bank of Thailand’s (BOT) shift from solely using interest rates to a broader policy framework. The BOT aims to address structural economic issues such as low productivity and high inequality while maintaining an accommodative interest rate policy. The report anticipates a final 25bps cut in February 2026, bringing the policy rate to 1.00%, which is expected to be sustained through 2026-27.BOT’s strategic policy adjustments”FX becomes a more operational domain, not just a communications domain. The BOT has raised concerns about baht appreciation and non-fundamental flows, including gold-linked flows that can…

The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1,050 points, or 2.15%, to close at 49,958.72, a fresh record high on Friday as stocks rebounded sharply from Thursday’s tech-led selloff. The S&P 500 climbed 1.2% to 6,880.13, while the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.0% to 22,765.45. The strong rebound came as investors reassessed concerns about artificial intelligence disruption and the impact of massive spending plans from Big Tech companies, with chipmakers and financials leading the market higher.Chipmakers rebound as AI infrastructure spending fears easeSemiconductor stocks staged a powerful rally on Friday as investors looked past concerns about the sustainability of artificial intelligence investments.…

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly said on a LinkedIn post on Friday that a low-hiring, low-firing environment may persist, or it may change to a no-hiring, more-firing environment.Key quotesWe must watch both sides of our mandate. Americans deserve both price stability and full employment.We’ve been in a relatively low-hiring, low-firing environment for some time. That may persist, but workers are aware that things could change quickly, leaving them in a no-hiring, more-firing labor market. US Dollar Price Today The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US…

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is on CNBC:The hyperscalers are so constrained by chipsAll of these companies cash flows are going to start risingWe are addressing the largest opportunity in historyNobody uses AI better than META and they see a much large future potential for itEvery company is seeing the same inflection pointTokens because profitable last yearSays he has no problems with OpenAINVDA shares are up 7.3% todayBrad Gerstner says xAI and OpenAI will be public in the next 12-18 months.In the part where he said there were no problems with OpenAI, he looked a bit uncomfortable. That said, he makes…

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. Advisory warning: investingLive is not an investment advisor, investingLive provides references and…

Amazon (AMZN) stock is holding onto an 8% loss late into Friday’s morning session, the first regular session since CEO Andy Jassy released the company’s fourth-quarter results. Despite a beat on the revenue side, the market was startled by a $0.01 miss on adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and Jassy’s guidance for $200 billion in capex this year, the highest level among all Magnificent 7 stocks.The Lion’s share of that capex figure is going toward the buildout of AI-focused data centers for Amazon Web Services’ (AWS) cloud business, but the guidance was $44 billion ahead of where the Street had…

Low-hiring, low firing environment may persist or may quickly change to a no-hiring, more-firing labor marketBusinesses are cautiously optimistic, workers are not so sure.The signal here — I think — is that the Fed could pivot quickly.The comments are from a short LinkedIn post. Here’s the full text:Is the economic outlook good or bad?If you talk to businesses, they’re cautiously optimistic. Growth is good, consumer spending remains solid, jobs are easy to fill, and productivity gains are helping control costs.Talking to workers, they’re not so sure. You can see this in the latest sentiment surveys, which show that Americans are…