Author: FX
Eldorado Gold gets key Quebec permit for Ormaque deposit at Lamaque Source link
Trading is 90% preparation and 10% execution so let’s spend some time preparing for an end to war. The market is clearly optimistic today but that could just be an unwind of fears of weekend escalation. There are so many moving parts here and iterations of how it could end but let’s make one simple assumption: The free flow of oil through Hormuz is re-established. Whether that’s a Trump TACO or Iran capitulation is largely irrelevant in terms of most market moves.So let’s say the oil gets moving again and the headline hits. What are the trades you want to…
TD Securities’ Senior Commodity Strategist Ryan McKay analyzes how disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz and Bab El-Mandeb are reshaping Saudi crude export risks and bypass capacity, with implications for Oil supply tightness. The report details flows via Yanbu, Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) routing, Suez Canal and SUMED pipeline constraints, and potential exposure of Saudi barrels to Houthi attacks.Saudi bypass flows and Houthi disruption risk”Up to 16-17m b/d of crude flow through the Strait of Hormuz has been halted. Roughly 7m b/d of those flows are able to bypass the Strait. Saudi Arabia has approximately 5-5.5m b/d of spare…
SailPoint collabs with AWS to provide identity security for agentic AI Source link
It will be a busy week for the FX market in terms of economic events, starting with Canadian inflation data on Monday. Tuesday, the highlight will be the RBA monetary policy announcement while the U.S. will publish pending home sales m/m data. Wednesday brings the BoC monetary policy announcement, the U.S. PPI m/m release and the highly anticipated FOMC meeting. New Zealand will also publish its GDP q/q data. Thursday will be particularly eventful with monetary policy announcements from the BoJ, SNB, BoE, and ECB. Australia will release its employment change figures and unemployment rate; the U.K will publish labour…
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Reserve Bank of Australia to deliver a second consecutive 25 bps hike to 4.10%, though it is described as a close call. Futures imply slightly better than even odds of a move. Haddad’s base case is that a hike would provide some support to the Australian Dollar against a backdrop of elevated domestic inflation.Back-to-back RBA hike seen likely”Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to deliver a back-to-back 25bps cash rate target hike to 4.10%, but it’s a close call. Cash rate futures imply 53% odds of a hike.””Our base case is…
The Volumatic Vidya Indicator MT4 solves this by combining two powerful concepts: volume-weighted price data and adaptive smoothing. Instead of treating every candle the same, it adjusts its sensitivity based on both volatility AND trading volume. This creates a moving average that responds quickly during genuine moves but filters out the noise during choppy, low-conviction periods. What Makes the Volumatic Vidya Different from Standard Indicators The Volumatic Vidya Indicator isn’t just another moving average clone. It’s built on the VIDYA (Variable Index Dynamic Average) foundation, which already stands out by adjusting its smoothing factor based on market volatility. But here’s…
What’s worse than going 0 for 9 at the Oscars? Missing a long-term trend pullback setup! Here’s what’s unfolding on CAD/CHF’s daily chart: CAD/CHF Daily Forex – Chart Faster with TradingView The oil-linked Canadian dollar was among last week’s stronger major currencies, supported by the surge in crude oil prices and steady demand for the fellow American currency, the U.S. dollar. The Swiss franc also drew some safe-haven interest, but its upside was capped by the dollar’s popularity and lingering intervention threats from the Swiss National Bank. Remember that directional biases and volatility conditions in market price are typically driven…
Is another RBA interest rate hike in the cards? And what does the central bank have in mind when it comes to future tightening? Here’s what to look out for in the upcoming RBA decision. Source link
U.S. strikes on military targets at Iran’s Kharg Island have raised fears of a wider escalation that could threaten global oil supplies.Summary:The U.S. struck Iranian military facilities on Kharg Island.Trump said oil infrastructure was deliberately spared.Kharg Island handles about 90% of Iran’s crude exports.Analysts say a direct strike could halt most of Iran’s oil shipments.Tehran could retaliate by targeting energy assets elsewhere in the Gulf.Iran has limited alternative export routes via the Goreh-to-Jask pipeline.Oil prices rose above $100 per barrel amid supply concerns.Trump is weighing a seizure of Iran’s critical oil depot on Kharg IslandU.S. strikes on Iranian military facilities…