Author: FX

Monday’s session was defined by an extraordinary intraday reversal in risk sentiment, as President Trump’s announcement of a five-day postponement to planned strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure triggered a sharp unwind of the geopolitical risk premium that had gripped markets since the weekend. WTI crude oil swung more than $15 per barrel in either direction before settling roughly 9% lower on the day, while equities pared deep early losses to close modestly higher and the U.S. dollar reversed its early safe-haven bid to close with a net bearish lean against most major currencies. Check out the forex news and economic…

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Gold was so wildly overdue for a correction. I think it is a very good opportunity to gold, commodities at this levelOur inflaiton model shows we are heading to 3.5% inflation I don’t think we will get a hike with the current structureThe private credit market remain very murkyI don’t think investors should be calling for a rate cut.The market is in a reevaluation phaseI don’t think the Fed will hike rates, and I certainly don’t think they will cut rates at the next meeting Not terribly enthusiastic about credit market or stocks at this.Would like to see the VIX…

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ING economist Min Joo Kang argues that Shin Hyun-song’s nomination as Bank of Korea (BoK) governor points to a more hawkish policy stance, with preemptive rate hikes likely. She highlights persistent inflation pressures and elevated household debt, suggesting the BoK may tighten policy earlier than markets expect.New governor signals earlier tightening bias”On Sunday, the government announced Shin Hyun-Song as its nominee for the governor of the Bank of Korea. Shin, currently serving as an economic advisor at the Bank for International Settlements, has experience in both academia and policy making. Though his views will come into closer view at the…

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The US Census Bureau released its monthly construction spending report on February 27, 2026, covering data through December 2025. The release was delayed from its original schedule due to the 43-day government shutdown in late 2025.Construction spending in December 2025 was estimated at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2,168.8 billion, up 0.3% from November’s $2,163.1 billion. This marked the first monthly increase after three consecutive months of declines. Despite the uptick, the December figure was 0.4% below the year-ago level, and full-year 2025 spending totaled $2,164.4 billion, down 1.4% from $2,194.8 billion in 2024.The monthly gain was driven by…

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Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors member Stephan Miran told Bloomberg on Monday that they shouldn’t make policy decisions on short-term headlines.Key takeaways”Premature to judge the current situation.””Traditional central bank view is oil shocks don’t hit core inflation.””The labor market could still use support from monetary policy.””Still not enough clarity to know monetary policy should react to current events.””Expecting higher headline inflation but too soon to say it will hit core.””Higher energy prices depress demand, offsets some of inflation impact.””It would be highly unusual for Fed to react to oil shock now.””Watching for broad based second round impacts from higher…

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It’s looking rough out there and there is not much of any room for shelter. There is a rout in bonds, stocks, and precious metals all put together as surging oil prices and the Middle East conflict drags on. This is when you have to start thinking of margin calls as pointed out last week here.US futures are down in the dumps again today, extending losses as we get into European trading. S&P 500 futures are now down 1.0% with Nasdaq futures down 1.3%. That follows from the Friday dump, which was a significant one in reaffirming the technical breakdown…

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The MT4 horizontal line indicator solves this by letting traders mark exact price levels that persist across sessions and timeframes. These visual reference lines stay locked at specific prices, creating a permanent map of where buyers and sellers have shown interest before. When price approaches these pre-marked zones, traders get clear visual alerts without needing to memorize numbers or keep separate notes. What Makes This Tool Different From Regular Chart Markings The horizontal line indicator isn’t fancy or complex. That’s actually its strength. Unlike oscillators that bounce around or moving averages that shift with price, these lines stay fixed at…

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