Author: FX

High risk warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage creates additional risk and loss exposure. Before you decide to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, experience level, and risk tolerance. You could lose some or all your initial investment; do not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. Educate yourself on the risks associated with foreign exchange trading and seek advice from an independent financial or tax advisor if you have any questions. Advisory warning: investingLive is not an investment advisor, investingLive provides references and…

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Gold (XAU/USD) rises sharply on Wednesday, edging up over 0.80% sponsored by falling US Treasury yields and a weaker US Dollar, as the odds for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) remain elevated despite strong economic data in the US. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,165 after bouncing off daily lows of $4,127.XAU/USD jumps over 0.80% amid upbeat US jobless and durable goods figuresData in the US revealed that the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits dipped compared to the previous week, reaching its lowest level since mid-April, according to the US Department of…

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Crude oil inventories build of 2.774 million versus 0.055 million estimateDistillates inventories build of 1.147 million versus 0.556 million estimateGasoline inventories build of 2.513 million versus 0.745 million estimateRefining utilization 2.3% versus expected 0.8%. Prior was 0.6%Crude oil production 13.814 million barrels versus previous 13.834 million barrelsCrude production change -20 K versus -28K last month Crude oil is currently trading at $57.98 that’s up $0.03 on the day. Geopolitical news involving a hopeful peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia has traders eyeing its impact. The low for the week extended to $57.38. The high is at $60.85. Last week, the…

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Markets have been buzzing about a potential shake-up at the most powerful central bank in the world. The Federal Reserve, the institution that controls interest rates and essentially steers monetary policy for the entire U.S. economy, could soon have a new leader with very different ideas about how things should work. Why does this matter to traders like you and me? Because the Fed Chair is arguably the single most influential person in global finance. Their decisions on interest rates ripple through every market: stocks, bonds, currencies, and commodities. Right now, President Trump’s search for a replacement is signaling a…

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Chancellor Reeves sidestepped the biggest fiscal dangers, delivering limited near-term tightening while preserving headroom through backloaded tax hikes, NOMURA’s FX analyst Dominic Bunning reports. GBP shorts face near-term squeeze”Chancellor Reeves avoided the major tail risks that we were worried about. Limited near-term tightening but larger fiscal headroom (via backloaded tax hikes) seems to be amongst the ‘least bad’ outcomes.””Scope for GBP shorts – which have been among the most popular G10 FX positions – to retrace.””GBP is not out of the woods yet. Backloading the tightening (until largely the next election!) still risks credibility and cyclical momentum is soft but…

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In terms of where the range that they are expecting for gold, it is from $3,950 to $4,950 in 2026. On the bump higher, Deutsche cites continued central bank demand as a key reason:”Third quarter supply-demand data supports a continued central bank bid. The positive structural picture shows inelastic demand from central banks and ETF investment diverting supply from the jewellery market. Also, overall growth in demand outpaces supply.”Before adding that:”Gold often exhibits a positive correlation to risk, so a deeper equity market correction would be damaging, as would our House view for less Fed easing than the market expects…

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In a recent analysis by UBS, Paul Donovan discusses the implications of the latest US Retail Sales data, which showed slight softness. Donovan emphasizes the importance of understanding the context of these numbers, particularly in light of inflation effects.Donovan also notes the potential for revisions and the impact of changing consumption patterns. Despite concerns, he suggests that there is no immediate cause for alarm based on credit card data. Retail sales data prompts cautious outlook”US September retail sales data were old news, but slightly softer. While it is tempting to blame the accelerating US inflation rate, retail sales are nominal…

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