Author: FX
U.S. oil exports seen hitting record 5.2M bbl/day as Iran war sparks supply race Source link
Czech, Slovak leaders back ally Orban ahead of Hungary vote Source link
The talks in Islamabad have beguin, according to reports from all sides.Notably, Iran has said it can’t open Hormuz because of mines in the water. The US seems to be calling that bluff as ‘several’ US navy ships passed through. Trump said “We’re now starting the process of clearing out Hormuz”.I wonder if Iran will see that as an escalation as it evidently wasn’t coordinated with them.One thing that worries me a bit is that Trump is highlighting that many tankers are headed to the US to pick up oil cargoes. He seems to be excited about that but the…
The Multi Timeframe Trend Indicator MT4 aims to fix that blind spot. It shows trend direction from higher timeframes directly on the active chart, helping traders stay aligned with broader market flow. Instead of guessing whether a pullback is a reversal, they can see it. Here’s how this tool actually works in real trading conditions. What the Multi Timeframe Trend Indicator MT4 Really Is At its core, the Multi Timeframe Trend Indicator MT4 is a trend confirmation tool. It pulls trend data from higher timeframes—such as H1, H4, or D1—and displays it on a lower chart like M15 or M5.…
The Trend Meter Indicator MT4 calculates individual currency strength by analyzing price movements across all major pairs containing that currency. When you see the meter showing USD strength at +80, it means the dollar is gaining value against most other currencies in your basket. Conversely, a reading of -80 indicates broad weakness. The calculation process runs through 28 major pairs every time it updates. For each currency, the indicator measures its performance against seven other counterparts, then averages those results into a single strength value. This happens simultaneously across multiple timeframes—typically M15, H1, H4, and D1—giving traders a complete picture…
The lowest-probability scenario activated, five assets moved in the right direction, and one probability lesson will change how we build frameworks going forward. Source link
ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, notes that China’s CPI inflation eased to 1.0% year-on-year after Lunar New Year, while PPI turned positive for the first time since 2022. The report highlights rising energy and transportation fuel costs, suggesting further upside for inflation and a gradual shift away from entrenched deflationary expectations in China.Energy-driven price pressures support reflation”The substantive price drops are in line with China’s typical seasonality around the Lunar New Year holiday. More importantly for the months ahead, we are starting to see the impact of higher energy prices in the data. The subcategory for transportation…
DBS Group Research expects Malaysia’s 1Q26 advance Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to grow 5.5% year-on-year, slightly below 6.3% in 4Q25 but still robust. Growth is seen supported by export-oriented electrical and electronics manufacturing, global AI tailwinds, construction and domestic demand. Headline inflation is projected to rise modestly to 1.7% in March, with oil-driven pressures cushioned by fiscal subsidies.AI tailwinds and mild price pressures”Malaysia’s incoming data are likely to reflect resilient economic growth and contained inflation in 1Q26, despite the Middle East shock since February 27.””We expect robust advance GDP growth estimate of 5.5% yoy in 1Q26, albeit lower than 6.3%…
Ceasefire drama, stagflationary data, and a collapsing dollar — the US-Iran conflict ran the FX show this week, reshuffling currency rankings almost every session from open to close. Source link
TD Securities expects China’s March exports to normalize after a strong Jan–Feb report, while imports could surprise on the upside as authorities stockpile key goods and commodities during the US–Iran conflict. Rising input costs may slow production and weigh on exports. The bank projects Q1 GDP at 4.8% y/y, supported by strong exports and manufacturing earlier in the quarter.Stockpiling and costs shape China outlook”After the phenomenal trade report in Jan-Feb, we expect some normalization in Mar for exports.””Imports, however, could surprise to the upside as China may rush to stockpile key goods and commodities amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict.””As input…