Author: FX

The Japanese yen gapped sharply lower over the weekend, following Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s resignation after the elections fallout. This announcement came a day before his Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) was scheduled to vote on holding an internal leadership vote that could have forced him out of power. Key Takeaways Short-lived tenure: Japan PM Ishiba resigned after less than a year in office, following two crushing electoral defeats that stripped the ruling LDP of its parliamentary majorities Electoral disasters: The LDP-Komeito coalition lost its majority in both the lower house (October 2024) and upper house (July 2025) elections Timing considerations:…

Fundamental OverviewThe USD sold off across the board on Friday following another soft NFP report. The dovish bets on the Fed increased as a result and the market is now expecting three rate cuts by year-end (70 bps). Moreover, we have also an 8% probability of a 50 bps cut in September but that will likely happen only if we get a soft CPI report on Thursday. In that case, the greenback will likely weaken further into the FOMC meeting.Overall, if one zooms out, the US dollar continues to range although the dovish bets on the Fed keep weighing on…

The Session Open H-Line MT4 Indicator automatically plots a horizontal line on the chart at the session’s opening price. This line acts as a key reference point that traders can use to measure price behavior. Whether the market moves above or below this level, the indicator highlights possible support or resistance zones. For intraday traders, this is especially helpful because it provides a clear starting framework for analysis right from the beginning of the session. Why This Indicator Matters Market sessions such as London, New York, and Tokyo often bring strong volatility. Many traders jump in too early without understanding…

Pacific Islands leaders meet to discuss security, climate change Source link

The New Zealand dollar gained significantly against the Canadian dollar after Canada reported weaker-than-expected job numbers. Can a key resistance area slow down NZD/CAD’s climb? Or do NZD bulls and CAD bears still have gas in their tanks? We’re taking a closer look at NZD/CAD’s 4-hour chart for clues. NZD/CAD 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView In case you missed it, the Canadian dollar took it on the chin Friday after August’s jobs report came in soft across the board. Not only did it miss forecasts, but it also fueled BOC interest rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, the New Zealand dollar picked…

AUD/NZD has been cruising higher with its rising lows connected by an ascending trend line on its 4-hour chart. Is it about to go in correction mode to gather more bullish energy soon? AUD/NZD 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView Improving economic data has been propping the Aussie higher over the past few weeks, as strong CPI and GDP figures appear to have dampened immediate RBA easing hopes. Meanwhile, the Kiwi seems to be on the back foot as risk aversion from Chinese regulatory concerns and persistent global trade jitters are weighing on the higher-yielding commodity currency. Can AUD/NZD sustain its…

China’s August exports and imports both jumpmore to come Chinese Trade Balance USD terms (August 2025) 102.33bnexpected 99.2bn, prior 98.24bnImports YY (August) +1.3% in USD termsexpected +3.0%, prior +4.1%Exports YY (August) +4.4% expected +5.0%, prior +7.2%-Chinese Imports YY (CNY terms )(August) +1.7%Exports YY (CNY)(August) +4.8% -YTD … China’s total goods imports and exports in yuan-denominated terms rose to 29.57 trillion yuan (US$4.14 trillion) in the first eight months of 2025, up 3.5% year-on-year, data released by the General Administration of Customs showed on Monday.YTD trade surplus with the US is USD185.8bn Source link

After last week’s shocking US jobs miss sent the dollar tumbling, all eyes turn to Thursday’s inflation data and ECB decision. Source link

The Trend By Angle MT4 Indicator is designed to measure the slope or angle of price movement, which is often a more reliable way of identifying trend strength. Instead of just showing whether the market is going up or down, it highlights the speed and intensity of that movement. This gives traders insight into whether the trend is worth following or if it may be too weak to trust. By focusing on angles rather than only price levels, it filters out much of the market noise. Why Angle-Based Analysis Matters Most indicators look at price in straight terms—highs, lows, and…

Swiss National Bank President Martin Schlegel said the bar is very high for reintroducing negative interest rates, given their harmful effects on savers and pension funds. Speaking to Migros-Magazin, he noted that with the policy rate now at zero, officials remain cautious about further easing. Schlegel stressed that negative rates would only be considered under exceptional circumstances, as the bank monitors the impact of US tariffs and sluggish domestic inflation. The SNB cut rates to zero in June, following a cycle of reductions that began in March 2024. Markets expect policy to remain steady well into 2026, with inflation still…