Author: FX

China’s factory output and retail sales growth slowed in July, missing expectations and underscoring the policy challenge of sustaining growth amid weak domestic demand and global headwinds.Industrial output rose 5.7% year-on-year, down from June’s 6.8% and the weakest since November 2024, while retail sales growth eased to 3.7% from 4.8%. Both trailed forecasts. Fixed asset investment increased just 1.6% in January–July versus expectations for 2.7%.The data come as Beijing faces pressure from US trade policies, soft domestic consumption, and factory-gate deflation — with the producer price index falling 3.6% in July for a second straight month. Authorities have pledged measures…

NZD/USD softens to around 0.5915 in Friday’s Asian session.China’s Retail Sales rose 3.7% YoY in July, softer than expected.Fed rate cut bets in the September meeting might cap the downside for the pair.The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers near 0.5915 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) pares gains against the US Dollar (USD) after the release of Chinese economic data. Traders will keep an eye on the US July Retail Sales data and the preliminary reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge, which are due later on Friday.Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics…

The Market Sessions MT4 Indicator is designed to highlight specific trading hours for major global markets such as London, New York, Tokyo, and Sydney. It automatically marks these sessions with color-coded boxes or background highlights, giving traders a clear view of when each session starts and ends. This visual aid helps traders adapt their strategies to match the market’s activity level. For example, the London-New York overlap often has high volatility and strong price movements, a prime time for short-term trades. Why Session Timing Matters Knowing the active session is crucial because each market has its unique trading behavior. The…

Warren Buffett / Berkshire Hathaway Q2 2025 portfolio moves, in summary from the latest Berkshire Hathaway 13-F filingNew and Increased PositionsUnitedHealth Group (UNH) – New 5M-share stake (~US$1.6B value, 18th largest Berkshire position).First time back in UNH since 2010; stock jumped 6–7% in after-hours trading on the news.Purchase comes despite UNH’s troubled year: ~50% share price drop YTD, DOJ investigation into Medicare billing, CEO resignation, and reduced 2025 earnings outlook.Seen as a contrarian bargain move; possibly initiated by investment lieutenants Todd Combs or Ted Weschler.Nucor (NUE) – New position; steelmaker’s shares jumped nearly 8% after disclosure.Lennar (LEN) – Significantly increased…

The USDJPY reacted to the 200-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart and the broken 38.2% retracement of the 2025 trading range following the U.S. PPI release. Momentum then carried the pair higher, testing the 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 147.813, where sellers leaned on the first attempt. Just above, at 147.887, sit last week’s swing highs.The bounce to the upside has now brought the pair back between the 100- and 200-bar moving averages—levels that defined last week’s entire trading range. Earlier this week, price briefly pushed above these averages toward targets at 148.58 and 148.779, but…

There is a chance for US Dollar (USD) to test 7.1700; a clear break below this level is unlikely. In the longer run, downward momentum is building; for a continued decline, USD must first close below 7.1700, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note. Downward momentum is building24-HOUR VIEW: “In the early Asian session yesterday, we detected ‘a slight increase in downward momentum.’ We expected USD to ‘edge lower to 7.1780,’ but we pointed out that ‘given the mild downward pressure, any further decline is unlikely to threaten the support at 7.1700.’ We were not wrong,…

Before the hype surrounding meme stocks and AI, cannabis producers were one of the hottest topics among investors hoping to multiply their money quickly. The big bet was on the legalization of cannabis for non-medical use, its production, and sale in Canada, a change that effectively came into effect in October 2018.However, once the event took place, the classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern played out in stocks like Aurora Cannabis and Canopy Growth Corporation. Since then, their share prices haven’t just failed to recover — they’ve collapsed by more than 95%. Not even BTCUSD has seen a…

The Trend Testing MT4 Indicator is designed to measure and display the current trend’s strength using visual cues directly on the chart. It helps traders filter out false signals and avoid trading during uncertain market conditions. By analyzing price movements and volatility patterns, the indicator presents a clear visual confirmation of whether the market is trending or ranging. This feature is especially useful for traders who rely on momentum-based strategies. Benefits for Everyday Traders One of the main benefits of the Trend Testing MT4 Indicator is its simplicity. Traders don’t need advanced technical knowledge to interpret the signals; it’s designed…

AUD/JPY is falling sharply after hitting resistance at the 96.50 area! How low can AUD/JPY go before the buyers step in again? Here’s what we’re seeing on the 4-hour time frame: AUD/JPY 4-hour Forex Chart by TradingView The Aussie is finding steady(ish) demand after a not-so-dovish RBA rate cut earlier this week, a little thaw in U.S.-China trade tensions, and a surprisingly solid July jobs report a few hours ago. But the Japanese yen’s got the upper hand right now, riding a wave of dollar weakness, safe haven flows, and a boost from U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent urging the BOJ…

There are a couple to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.The standout are the ones for EUR/USD with extremely large expiries layered especially near and at the 1.1700 level. That is likely to act as a magnet once again, in keeping price action in a stickier spot before we get to the US PPI and weekly initial jobless claims later today. There are also some notable ones at 1.1715 and 1.1750 to keep price action in check and more rangebound as well for the session ahead.Then, there is one for GBP/USD at the 1.3600 level.…