Author: FX
A US official said on Friday that there is progress in Oman-Iran talks and that a deal could be signed soon, according to Reuters. Once the deal is announced, this would restore commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, and the US would lift the blockade. Meanwhile, another official told ABC News that a temporary route was discussed and that it would be limited to 60 days. The official warned that nothing is final until publicly announced, and another source said that the Trump administration wants total freedom of commercial navigation through the Strait, without Iranian tolls or any arrangement requiring…
investingLive Americas market news wrap: Non-farm payrolls turn negative, dollar drops !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz Source link
The British Pound retreats against the Japanese Yen, down about 0.24%, as the Yen is poised to end the week on a higher note. However, GBP/JPY is poised to finish the week with minimal gains, trading at 212.64.GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Technical outlookThe GBP/JPY trades sideways, though slightly tilted to the downside, following an intervention in the FX markets by US and Japanese authorities. Worth noting that after soft US jobs data, Japanese Finance Minister Katayama said she agreed with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent that FX markets had been affected by moves rather than fundamentals.This pushed GBP/JPY to the day’s…
Standard Chartered’s Jonathan Koh and Edward Lee now expect Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to keep its policy rate unchanged at the 27 August meeting, abandoning a previously projected hike. The bank trims its 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast to 3.5% and lowers Consumer Price Index (CPI) expectations, while still projecting rate cuts in 2027 once inflation falls below 4%. BSP rhetoric is expected to stay hawkish.BSP seen on hold but still hawkish”We now expect Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to keep its policy rate unchanged at its 27 August meeting, versus our previous forecast of a 25bps…
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell below the 100.00 region after sinking through Friday’s session. July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) showed the US economy shedding 23K jobs against forecasts of an 80K gain, with June revised down to 20K, and Average Hourly Earnings slowing to 3.2% on the year. Markets that had spent late July pricing a hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) reversed course in the morning. This coming Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), projected at 3.4% YoY headline and 2.5% YoY on the core measure, now decides whether that repricing extends or stalls. Two Fed speakers follow on Thursday, with Hammack…
US Treasury yields drop across the curve on Friday amid growing speculation that the Iran-Oman deal is about to be sealed, which has so far pushed energy prices lower, while investors also digest a weak Nonfarm Payrolls report in the US.Yields slide across the curve as Oil declines, payrolls disappoint and traders price out September Fed tighteningRecently, a US official said that there has been progress between Oman and Iran on Hormuz, and that once a deal is announced to restore shipping without impediments, the US Navy will lift the blockade of Iranian ports.West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude…
The US labour market debate is divided. Ask consumers and they’ll tell you hiring conditions are the worst since the mid-2010s (ex-pandemic). Ask the initial claims data and you’d conclude companies won’t let anyone go. Today the Fed’s Barkin reiterated that it’s a low-hire, low-fire economy.Zoom out and the pain is concentrated in one place: people trying to get their first real job.National Bank’s Jocelyn Paquet flags it in this week’s Hot Chart. The unemployment rate for recent graduates is running at 5.7% versus 4.1% for all workers. That might not sound dramatic until you consider the history: from 1990…
US official says there is progress on Iran-Oman on Strait of Hormuz !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz Source link
EUR/JPY trades on the back foot on Friday, easing away even as the Euro (EUR) posts solid gains against the US Dollar (USD). The Japanese currency surged suddenly near the start of the American session after a surprisingly weak United States (US) employment report. But the cross recovered much of those losses fairly quickly.Japan and the United States conducted coordinated Yen-buying intervention last Friday, a rare bilateral action, and that memory is enough to make traders reluctant to sell the Yen into a US Dollar that fell over 1% against the Yen during the early American session on Friday. The…
Earnings week ahead preview: The season’s last big week belongs to the neoclouds !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz !”#$%&'()*+,-./0123456789:;<=>?@ABCDEFGHIJKLMNOPQRSTUVWXYZ[\]^_`abcdefghijklmnopqrstuvwxyz Source link