Tuesday, May 12



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  • LYFT stock gains over 30% on Wednesday following margin expansion snafu.
  • Management said adjusted EBITDA would expand by 50, not 500, basis points in 2024.
  • Earnings and revenue outpaced consensus for the fourth quarter.
  • Net income losses greatly plunged from a year ago for the rideshare company.

 

Don’t let anyone tell you that mistakes can’t sometimes improve a situation. Lyft (LYFT) stock, the rideshare competitor to Uber (UBER), has benefited dramatically on Wednesday from a typo in its fourth-quarter earnings results.

At the time of writing on Wednesday, Lyft stock has accelerated by 35% to $16.35, while Uber stock has likewise jumped about 14% on the announcement that it will buy back up to $7 billion in stock.

Upon initially releasing its fourth-quarter earnings report late Tuesday, a statement from the company said that adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) would expand in 2024 by 500 basis points. LYFT stock rocketed afterhours on Tuesday, and at one point the spike climbed above 60%, before management corrected the sentence to say 50 basis points.

Lyft stock earnings news

Still, Lyft stock has gained more than 30% on Wednesday in the aftermath of the basis point flub, and it is hard to argue that initial euphoria regarding the typo did not play some part in Wednesday’s share price spike.

Of course, there was ample speculation that heavy shorting prior to the earnings release had led to a short squeeze, causing the shorts to repurchase stock in order to close out their positions. About 13% of the LYFT float was held short in the lead-up to earnings.

The fourth quarter results themselves were quite good though. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) in the fourth quarter reached $0.16 per share — an 8-cent beat. GAAP EPS was $-0.06, which beat Wall Street consensus by 12 cents. The company’s net loss fell from $588 million in the previous year’s quarter to a loss of $26 million in Q4 2023.

Revenue rose 4% YoY to $1.22 billion, which narrowly beat Wall Street consensus by $3 million. But gross bookings hiked 17% from a year ago to $3.7 billion.

Q4 total rides rose 26% from a year prior to 191 million. Additionally, Lyft’s total number of rides in 2023 of 709 million rose 18% from 2022.

 

Nasdaq FAQs

The Nasdaq is a stock exchange based in the US that started out life as an electronic stock quotation machine. At first, the Nasdaq only provided quotations for over-the-counter (OTC) stocks but later it became an exchange too. By 1991, the Nasdaq had grown to account for 46% of the entire US securities’ market. In 1998, it became the first stock exchange in the US to provide online trading. The Nasdaq also produces several indices, the most comprehensive of which is the Nasdaq Composite representing all 2,500-plus stocks on the Nasdaq, and the Nasdaq 100.

The Nasdaq 100 is a large-cap index made up of 100 non-financial companies from the Nasdaq stock exchange. Although it only includes a fraction of the thousands of stocks in the Nasdaq, it accounts for over 90% of the movement. The influence of each company on the index is market-cap weighted. The Nasdaq 100 includes companies with a significant focus on technology although it also encompasses companies from other industries and from outside the US. The average annual return of the Nasdaq 100 has been 17.23% since 1986.

There are a number of ways to trade the Nasdaq 100. Most retail brokers and spread betting platforms offer bets using Contracts for Difference (CFD). For longer-term investors, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) trade like shares that mimic the movement of the index without the investor needing to buy all 100 constituent companies. An example ETF is the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ). Nasdaq 100 futures contracts allow traders to speculate on the future direction of the index. Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the Nasdaq 100 at a specific price (strike price) in the future.

Many different factors drive the Nasdaq 100 but mainly it is the aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in their quarterly and annual company earnings reports. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment, which if positive drives gains. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the Nasdaq 100 as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. As such the level of inflation can be a major driver too as well as other metrics which impact on the decisions of the Fed.

Lyft stock forecast

Lyft stock reached a one-year high on Wednesday at $16.77. LYFT stock has not traded at that latitude since February 9, 2023. After traders took some profits off the table on Wednesday, LYFT stock has settled in after lunchtime just below the December 18 high of $15.95.

A close above that prior range high will hearten bulls to hold onto the stock, which could persaude the party to continue. However, a descent to support at the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), which is currently trading near $13.50, would still amount to needed consolidation before a further leg up.

LYFT daily stock chart

 



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