Author: FX

Sun: Japanese Prelim. GDP (Q4)Mon: US Holiday (Washington’s Birthday/Presidents Day); Eurogroup Meeting; Swedish Unemployment (Jan), EZ Industrial Production (Dec)Tue: RBA Minutes (Feb); UK Unemployment/Wages (Dec), German ZEW (Feb), US ADP Weekly, Canadian CPI (Jan), NY Fed (Feb), Chinese Lunar New Year (Hong Kong markets closed from 17th-19th Feb)Wed: RBNZ Announcement, FOMC Minutes (Jan); Japanese Trade Balance (Jan), Australian Wage Price Index (Q4), UK CPI (Jan), US NY Fed (Feb), Industrial Production (Jan)Thu: Japanese CPI (Jan), Australian Employment (Jan), US Trade Balance (Dec), Weekly/Continuing Claims, Philadelphia Fed (Feb), Pending Home Sales (Jan), EZ Flash Consumer Confidence (Feb), New Zealand Trade Balance…

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The Range Filter indicator functions as a volatility-adjusted moving average that adapts to market conditions. Unlike traditional moving averages that lag behind price, this indicator incorporates range-based calculations to filter out insignificant price movements. Here’s what makes it different: The indicator measures the average true range over a specified period and uses this data to create a dynamic filter. When price movement exceeds the calculated range threshold, the filter acknowledges it as a valid signal. Smaller movements that fall below this threshold get ignored entirely. Visually, traders see a colored line that shifts between bullish (typically blue or green) and…

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Bitcoin Futures are hovering near $68,800 in mid-February 2026, attempting to stabilize after a sharp retracement from last year’s surge above $110,000. At the same time, Ethereum Futures are trading close to $2,050, nearly 50% below their prior highs above $4,000. While crypto appears to be “holding,” the broader backdrop tells a more complex story.Nasdaq Futures, which climbed above 26,000 during the late-2025 expansion phase, have cooled materially and are now trading closer to the 24,800 region. The index is no longer delivering clean upside momentum, and recent weeks show more rotational behavior than sustained expansion. That shift in macro…

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The MT5 Volume Indicator displays tick volume—the number of price changes during each period. While forex doesn’t have centralized volume like stocks, tick volume serves as a reliable proxy for actual trading activity. More ticks typically mean more trades happening. The indicator appears as a histogram below your price chart. Green bars show periods where volume increased from the previous bar. Red bars indicate decreasing volume. The height of each bar represents the intensity of trading activity during that specific candle. This isn’t just decoration for your chart. Volume patterns reveal market psychology. High volume during uptrends suggests genuine buying…

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MUFG’s Michael Wan views the detailed US–India interim trade deal, including tariff cuts and exemptions, as positive for India’s external position. He sees scope for USD/INR to briefly break below 90 in coming months, but expects only a shallow INR recovery. MUFG forecasts USD/INR at 89.50 in Q1 2026 before rising back to 93.00 by year-end on FDI repatriation and wider deficits.Tariff cuts help but upside later”USD/INR: US and India provided more details around the interim trade deal. Overall we think it is a positive, and we forecast USD/INR at 89.50 by March 2026 and 93.00 by Dec 2026″”Overall, we…

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Commerzbank’s FX analysts note that Singapore’s 2026 Budget emphasizes supply-side support, SME internationalisation and capital-market development, including fresh funding for the Equity Market Development Programme and Anchor Fund. The Singapore Dollar has outperformed most Asian peers, with USD/SGD nearing a 10-year low as the Straits Times Index hits record highs.Fiscal support and strong currency performance”Prime Minister Lawrence Wong unveiled the 2026 Budget yesterday, with a focus on supply-side support and capital market development.””In FX, USD-SGD was little changed at 1.2630 yesterday.””The pair is approaching the 10-year low of 1.2580.””This year, SGD is the second best performing Asian currency behind MYR…

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