Author: FX

Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen and colleagues highlight that Brent Oil has reversed earlier gains as reports of a conditional ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon eased some geopolitical risk. However, they stress that the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and Polymarket odds show rising scepticism about a quick return to normal traffic, keeping longer-dated Brent futures elevated and inflation concerns alive.Geopolitics keep Brent risk premium”The geopolitical headlines have become slightly more positive this morning, with oil prices falling back after the US said that Israel and Lebanon agreed to a ceasefire. That ceasefire is conditional on Hezbollah also stopping fighting, but…

Read More

The Reversal Arrow Indicator MT4 is designed to mark possible market reversals directly on the chart using visual arrows. Instead of guessing where the trend might change, traders receive a clear signal that price momentum may be shifting. The following sections explain how this indicator works, how traders apply it in real trading conditions, and where it fits within a broader technical analysis strategy. Understanding the Reversal Arrow Indicator MT4 The Reversal Arrow Indicator MT4 is a technical analysis tool that identifies possible trend reversals and displays them as arrows above or below price candles. A downward arrow normally suggests…

Read More

Societe Generale notes that while intervention threat persists, Japan has struggled to really shift the discourse in the yen outlook ever since 2022. Considering the current circumstances, the environment for a weaker yen currency looks set to persist for a bit longer.The firm also argues that while intervention from Japan’s ministry of finance may slow the trend, it won’t lead to a material shift in sentiment for the time being. I reckon that line of thinking is quite well established even among market participants already. That as we see USD/JPY recover back to test the 160 mark this week.”Neither rate…

Read More

Manufacturing hit its strongest reading since May 2022 at 54.0. Services surpassed expectations at 54.5 versus 53.7. In both cases, employment is contracting while prices continue to run hot. Here’s why the latest ISM PMI surveys could make the Fed’s policy headache get worse. What Are PMIs Anyway? The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) is a composite reading based on a monthly survey of business managers asking a simple question: Is business getting better or worse than last month? The dividing line is 50. Above it means expansion. Below it means contraction. The further from 50, the stronger the signal. Two…

Read More

On early Thursday, a report from The Economic Times (ET) has shown that the Indian government plans to scrap capital gains tax on investments in government securities by foreign portfolio investors (FPIs), in an attempt to improve the inflow of foreign funds into the economy.Additional announcementsCabinet meet on Wednesday approved the scrapping of capital gains tax on foreign portfolio investment in government bonds.Decision likely to be implemented via an ordinance amending Income Tax rules.Foreign investors currently pay 12.5% long term capital gains tax on listed shares and bonds held for more than 12 months.They also pay 20% withholding tax on…

Read More