There is perhaps just one to take note of on the day, as highlighted in bold below.
That being for EUR/USD at the 1.1600 level. The dollar fell off yesterday amid a marked improvement in the risk mood, with talks of US president Trump looking to wrap up the war in Iran and declaring “victory” – whatever that may mean.
It was enough to keep stocks buoyed alongside arguably some month-end and quarter-end rebalancing. As for the dollar, it dropped off across the board and that’s leaving traders in a bit of a bind to start April trading.
Trump will be due to address the nation later at night today and is set to “provide an important update on Iran”. Given that he has already reached his pain threshold on markets with regards to the war, we may yet see him call for an end to the conflict. That might raise questions about what the last month has been about, given the lack of any meaningful progress in pressuring Iran on a nuclear deal.
For markets, it’s all about the Strait of Hormuz. The US pulling back might help to lift risk sentiment only provided that it leads to the reopening of the strait. It’s all down to Iran now in making that call and whether they want to give up such leverage.
Circling back to the expiries, the ones for EUR/USD don’t tie to any technical significance. But amid a slightly softer dollar now, the expiries could act alongside offers in limiting price action in European morning trade at least. That as we wait on Trump’s address, which is scheduled for 0100 GMT later.
For more information on how to use this data, you may refer to this post here.
Head on over to investingLive (formerly ForexLive) to get in on the know!
